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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 9, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Vegas Golden Knights 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (OT)

Away

Vegas Golden Knights

4

Final

Overtime

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 67% of the time.

TBL winsVGK wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:27Goal by Kolesar (Blueger, Howden)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Fleury, Point · VGK Martinez, McNabb, Blueger, Kolesar, Howden

  3. P1 0:55Shot by Karlsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 4:26Shot by Kucherov, saved by Quick
  5. P1 4:28Goal by Point (Kucherov, Stamkos)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Bogosian, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev · VGK Martinez, Pietrangelo, Karlsson, Amadio, Cotter

  6. P1 5:15Shot by Hagel, saved by Quick
  7. P1 8:49Shot by Cole, saved by Quick
  8. P1 9:07Shot by Bogosian, saved by Quick
  9. P1 9:12Shot by Cernak, saved by Quick
  10. P1 10:59Shot by Smith, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 11:49Shot by Perbix, saved by Quick
  12. P1 12:31Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Quick
  13. P1 16:08McNabb: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Perbix · VGK McNabb, Marchessault, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel

  14. P1 16:44Shot by Smith, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  15. P1 18:06Shot by Cernak, saved by Quick5v4
  16. P1 19:39Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Quick
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 1:48Shot by Paul, saved by Quick
  20. P2 2:31Shot by Colton, saved by Quick
  21. P2 2:42Shot by Sergachev, saved by Quick
  22. P2 3:20Shot by Fleury, saved by Quick
  23. P2 3:21Shot by Maroon, saved by Quick
  24. P2 3:22Shot by Maroon, saved by Quick
  25. P2 6:10Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Quick
  26. P2 6:53Shot by Barbashev, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 12:11Shot by Hague, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P2 12:19Shot by Kucherov, saved by Quick
  29. P2 12:39Shot by Cernak, saved by Quick
  30. P2 14:38Jeannot: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Paul, Sergachev, Colton, Jeannot, Perbix · VGK McNabb, Marchessault, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel

  31. P2 14:38McNabb: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Paul, Sergachev, Colton, Jeannot, Perbix · VGK McNabb, Marchessault, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel

  32. P2 14:38McNabb: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Paul, Sergachev, Colton, Jeannot, Perbix · VGK McNabb, Marchessault, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel

  33. P2 14:53Shot by Karlsson, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  34. P2 16:25Shot by Barbashev, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  35. P2 17:12Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 19:38Theodore: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Sergachev, Eyssimont, Perbix · VGK Blueger, Theodore, Kolesar, Howden, Hague

  37. P2 0:00Stamkos: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev · VGK Martinez, Pietrangelo, Smith, Karlsson

  38. P2 0:00Period end4v4
  39. P3 0:00Period start
  40. P3 1:48Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  41. P3 2:19Shot by Stamkos, saved by Quick5v4
  42. P3 2:27Goal by Karlsson (Pietrangelo)5v4+26 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev · VGK Martinez, McNabb, Smith, Karlsson

  43. P3 3:40Shot by Perbix, saved by Quick
  44. P3 4:44Eyssimont: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Fleury, Cernak, Cirelli, Eyssimont · VGK Martinez, Pietrangelo, Marchessault, Barbashev, Eichel

  45. P3 4:56Shot by Amadio, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  46. P3 4:57Shot by Amadio, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  47. P3 5:39Goal by Stephenson (Theodore, Smith)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Cole, Sergachev, Hagel · VGK Smith, Stephenson, Theodore, Amadio, Eichel

  48. P3 6:17Shot by Blueger, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P3 7:05Shot by Karlsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P3 7:22Shot by Kucherov, saved by Quick
  51. P3 7:28Shot by Cernak, saved by Quick
  52. P3 8:49Shot by Perbix, saved by Quick
  53. P3 10:23Shot by McNabb, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 12:16Maroon: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Fleury, Eyssimont · VGK Blueger, Kolesar, Howden, Hague, Whitecloud

  55. P3 12:16Bogosian: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Fleury, Eyssimont · VGK Blueger, Kolesar, Howden, Hague, Whitecloud

  56. P3 12:16Kolesar: Roughing (2 min)3v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Fleury, Eyssimont · VGK Blueger, Kolesar, Howden, Hague, Whitecloud

  57. P3 12:16Bogosian: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Fleury, Eyssimont · VGK Blueger, Kolesar, Howden, Hague, Whitecloud

  58. P3 12:16Kolesar: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Fleury, Eyssimont · VGK Blueger, Kolesar, Howden, Hague, Whitecloud

  59. P3 12:16Maroon: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Fleury, Eyssimont · VGK Blueger, Kolesar, Howden, Hague, Whitecloud

  60. P3 12:16Howden: Roughing (2 min)3v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Fleury, Eyssimont · VGK Blueger, Kolesar, Howden, Hague, Whitecloud

  61. P3 12:16Maroon: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Fleury, Eyssimont · VGK Blueger, Kolesar, Howden, Hague, Whitecloud

  62. P3 12:16Howden: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Fleury, Eyssimont · VGK Blueger, Kolesar, Howden, Hague, Whitecloud

  63. P3 12:16Fleury: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Fleury, Eyssimont · VGK Blueger, Kolesar, Howden, Hague, Whitecloud

  64. P3 12:16Fleury: Misconduct (10 min)3v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Fleury, Eyssimont · VGK Blueger, Kolesar, Howden, Hague, Whitecloud

  65. P3 12:16Blueger: Roughing (2 min)3v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Fleury, Eyssimont · VGK Blueger, Kolesar, Howden, Hague, Whitecloud

  66. P3 12:16Blueger: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Fleury, Eyssimont · VGK Blueger, Kolesar, Howden, Hague, Whitecloud

  67. P3 12:16Perry: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Fleury, Eyssimont · VGK Blueger, Kolesar, Howden, Hague, Whitecloud

  68. P3 12:16Perry: Misconduct (10 min)3v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Fleury, Eyssimont · VGK Blueger, Kolesar, Howden, Hague, Whitecloud

  69. P3 12:16Whitecloud: Roughing (2 min)3v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Fleury, Eyssimont · VGK Blueger, Kolesar, Howden, Hague, Whitecloud

  70. P3 12:16Hague: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Fleury, Eyssimont · VGK Blueger, Kolesar, Howden, Hague, Whitecloud

  71. P3 12:16Hague: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Fleury, Eyssimont · VGK Blueger, Kolesar, Howden, Hague, Whitecloud

  72. P3 12:16Eyssimont: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Fleury, Eyssimont · VGK Blueger, Kolesar, Howden, Hague, Whitecloud

  73. P3 12:16Eyssimont: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Fleury, Eyssimont · VGK Blueger, Kolesar, Howden, Hague, Whitecloud

  74. P3 12:16Whitecloud: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bogosian, Fleury, Eyssimont · VGK Blueger, Kolesar, Howden, Hague, Whitecloud

  75. P3 13:28Shot by Marchessault, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  76. P3 14:56Shot by Sergachev, saved by Quick
  77. P3 15:03Shot by Perbix, saved by Quick
  78. P3 15:07Shot by Point, saved by Quick
  79. P3 15:09Shot by Point, saved by Quick
  80. P3 17:44Shot by Kucherov, saved by Quick6v5
  81. P3 17:53Goal by Kucherov (Sergachev, Point)6v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli, Sergachev · VGK McNabb, Marchessault, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel

  82. P3 18:38Shot by Sergachev, saved by Quick6v5
  83. P3 18:39Shot by Killorn, saved by Quick6v5
  84. P3 18:42Shot by Killorn, saved by Quick6v5
  85. P3 19:14Shot by Stamkos, saved by Quick6v5
  86. P3 19:14Stephenson: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli, Sergachev · VGK Pietrangelo, McNabb, Karlsson, Stephenson, Eichel

  87. P3 19:32Goal by Point (Kucherov, Sergachev)6v4+50 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli, Sergachev · VGK Pietrangelo, McNabb, Smith, Karlsson

  88. P3 0:00Shot by Cirelli, saved by Quick
  89. P3 0:00Period end
  90. OT 0:00Period start
  91. OT 0:16Shot by Smith, saved by Vasilevskiy3v3
  92. OT 1:31Shot by Point, saved by Quick3v3
  93. OT 3:05Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy3v3
  94. OT 3:09Goal by Martinez (Eichel, Marchessault)3v3+52 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Cernak, Hagel · VGK Martinez, Marchessault, Eichel

  95. OT 3:09Period end3v3
  96. OT 3:09Final