Thu, Mar 9, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Vegas Golden Knights 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 67% of the time.
58%
8%
25%
TBL winsVGK wins
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 23:54 | 0.13 | 36.8% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:39 | 0.03 | 17.3% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:58 | 0.41 | 28.9% | +13.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:47 | 0.58 | 18.1% | +52.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:13 | 0.15 | 23.0% | +52.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:08 | 0.10 | 32.6% | +13.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:46 | 0.30 | 20.7% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:43 | 0.03 | 15.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:47 | 0.25 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:17 | 0.12 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:32 | 0.10 | 23.0% | +52.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:00 | 0.00 | 12.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:38 | 0.01 | 21.4% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:30 | 0.06 | 20.8% | +12.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:24 | 0.10 | 21.4% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:10 | 0.03 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 7:10 | 0.33 | 18.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:33 | 0.00 | 18.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 3.71 | +0.7 | 63:09 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 26:27 | 0.06 | 82.2% | +56.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:53 | 0.06 | 78.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 22:22 | 0.13 | 76.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 21:25 | 0.54 | 78.7% | +70.4 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 21:20 | 0.91 | 75.9% | +70.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:15 | 0.22 | 79.0% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:03 | 0.06 | 83.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:48 | 0.15 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:21 | 0.50 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:11 | 0.05 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:52 | 0.06 | 79.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:19 | 0.15 | 80.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:47 | 0.03 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:16 | 0.02 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:57 | 0.00 | 84.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:50 | 0.19 | 78.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:16 | 0.23 | 97.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:04 | 0.36 | 82.9% | 0.0 |
| O | 21 | 17 | 4 | .810 | 2.71 | −1.3 | 61:15 |