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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 9, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Vegas Golden Knights 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 67% of the time.

TBL winsVGK wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against VGK's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Marchessault–Barbashev–EichelSmith–Karlsson–StephensonBlueger–Kolesar–HowdenKessel–Smith–StephensonKessel–Amadio–CotterKarlsson–Amadio–CotterKessel–Eichel–CotterMcNabb–TheodoreMartinez–PietrangeloHague–WhitecloudTheodore–WhitecloudPietrangelo–Theodore
Stamkos–Kucherov–Point4:300.57–0.193:480.17–0.030:540.00–0.000:420.26–0.003:180.05–0.064:380.92–0.032:080.05–0.000:450.00–0.13
Killorn–Cirelli–Hagel3:550.15–0.031:230.00–0.001:070.04–0.001:160.12–0.120:500.00–0.004:060.14–0.152:520.04–0.001:200.10–0.000:320.04–0.00
Paul–Colton–Jeannot1:230.01–0.003:430.21–0.110:430.03–0.001:120.00–0.001:040.18–0.000:430.00–0.013:310.05–0.013:430.18–0.111:030.21–0.00
Perry–Maroon–Eyssimont6:440.60–0.021:590.11–0.000:580.00–0.002:420.11–0.00
Cole–Cernak5:080.17–0.032:280.00–0.042:230.03–0.000:510.00–0.001:030.12–0.005:150.18–0.032:460.00–0.004:360.10–0.010:330.04–0.000:370.00–0.03
Sergachev–Perbix4:210.54–0.134:130.27–0.031:330.00–0.000:320.00–0.001:100.00–0.010:430.00–0.003:320.01–0.015:570.61–0.062:330.05–0.000:440.15–0.000:510.00–0.13
Bogosian–Fleury2:440.11–0.104:260.43–0.121:310.01–0.001:080.18–0.123:080.05–0.121:530.06–0.003:280.18–0.111:120.06–0.02
Cole–Perbix0:370.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:520.11–0.00
Cernak–Sergachev1:000.04–0.061:260.12–0.06
Cole–Bogosian0:520.00–0.060:500.03–0.06
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndPerry FMaroon FEyssimont FPoint FPaul FColton FJeannot FKucherov FStamkos FCirelli FHagel FKillorn FFleury DBogosian DPerbix DSergachev DCernak DCole DVasilevskiy GHowden FBlueger FKolesar FAmadio FCotter FKarlsson FEichel FMarchessault FBarbashev FKessel FSmith FStephenson FPietrangelo DMartinez DMcNabb DTheodore DHague DWhitecloud DQuick G
TBLVGKFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mikhail SergachevTBL2626:271:012:3032
Shea TheodoreVGK2623:540:552:1336
Alex PietrangeloVGK2923:390:491:39210
Reilly SmithVGK2622:580:531:4957
Ian ColeTBL2622:530:531:4152
Erik CernakTBL2622:220:521:1551
Alec MartinezVGK2821:470:471:2238
Chandler StephensonVGK2321:360:561:3643
Nikita KucherovTBL2021:251:042:1462
Brayden PointTBL2121:201:012:3362
Steven StamkosTBL2321:150:551:5561
Jack EichelVGK2721:130:471:4437
William KarlssonVGK2320:460:541:4928
Nick PerbixTBL2820:030:431:2322
Anthony CirelliTBL2019:480:592:1132
Alex KillornTBL2019:210:581:5260
Brandon HagelTBL2019:110:582:0531
Zach WhitecloudVGK1918:430:592:1400
Ivan BarbashevVGK2317:470:461:3226
Brayden McNabbVGK2417:170:431:2616
Jonathan MarchessaultVGK2316:320:431:2626
Nicolas HagueVGK1716:000:561:3701
Nick PaulTBL1714:520:521:2711
Teddy BluegerVGK1913:380:431:0202
Brett HowdenVGK1813:300:451:0202
Ross ColtonTBL1513:190:531:2411
Zach BogosianTBL1912:470:401:2510
Keegan KolesarVGK1511:240:461:0402
Haydn FleuryTBL1711:160:401:3310
Corey PerryTBL1410:570:471:1110
Tanner JeannotTBL1410:500:461:2011
Michael EyssimontTBL139:160:430:5910
Patrick MaroonTBL129:040:451:0010
Phil KesselVGK77:101:011:1810
Michael AmadioVGK87:100:541:2321
Paul CotterVGK96:330:441:2601