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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 11, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Chicago Blackhawks 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 76% of the time.

TBL winsCHI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CHI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Athanasiou–Kurashev–ReichelDickinson–Philp–EntwistleJohnson–Raddysh–GuttmanKhaira–Anderson–KatchoukPhilp–Entwistle–KurashevRaddysh–Kurashev–ReichelJones–JonesMitchell–RoosTinordi–ZaitsevJones–RoosJones–Zaitsev
Kucherov–Point–Hagel2:460.26–0.072:290.39–0.002:460.47–0.211:100.00–0.115:430.74–0.400:310.00–0.123:280.39–0.131:180.00–0.00
Paul–Eyssimont–Jeannot2:470.28–0.071:590.07–0.001:120.00–0.000:490.00–0.074:030.30–0.071:280.37–0.00
Killorn–Cirelli–Colton1:110.00–0.000:500.00–0.001:400.10–0.002:030.00–0.001:530.00–0.001:440.26–0.090:350.00–0.00
Stamkos–Kucherov–Point1:080.07–0.001:220.02–0.171:020.00–0.100:490.02–0.001:170.00–0.171:590.07–0.10
Perry–Maroon–Paul1:220.00–0.091:190.00–0.041:430.00–0.080:490.00–0.06
Paul–Colton–Jeannot1:020.00–0.031:150.01–0.040:330.00–0.001:440.01–0.031:010.00–0.00
Killorn–Cirelli–Hagel1:210.00–0.031:260.03–0.002:000.03–0.030:530.00–0.00
Perry–Maroon–Eyssimont0:430.00–0.060:520.01–0.001:110.00–0.152:120.01–0.150:440.00–0.06
Perry–Maroon–Cirelli0:310.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Kucherov–Paul–Hagel0:330.05–0.00
Cole–Cernak2:330.00–0.031:430.00–0.003:580.00–0.062:090.00–0.190:450.20–0.000:320.05–0.003:480.00–0.295:340.22–0.042:560.20–0.111:020.05–0.000:360.04–0.00
Bogosian–Sergachev2:350.23–0.104:130.03–0.101:570.00–0.120:560.00–0.003:490.03–0.033:510.23–0.251:500.02–0.001:150.00–0.00
Hedman–Perbix3:220.23–0.000:580.00–0.061:580.03–0.121:360.00–0.005:090.15–0.261:330.00–0.102:470.55–0.080:430.00–0.00
Hedman–Sergachev1:010.39–0.001:320.47–0.002:160.09–0.222:270.56–0.112:530.39–0.10
Bogosian–Hedman0:390.00–0.110:310.01–0.000:470.01–0.000:550.00–0.11
Cole–Hedman1:290.00–0.000:550.00–0.000:590.00–0.00
Sergachev–Perbix1:150.15–0.071:150.15–0.02
Hedman–Cernak0:390.00–0.000:560.00–0.00
Cole–Sergachev0:310.00–0.00
Cernak–Sergachev
Cole–Perbix0:380.00–0.07
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKillorn FHagel FCirelli FStamkos FPoint FKucherov FJeannot FColton FPaul FMaroon FEyssimont FPerry FCole DCernak DHedman DPerbix DBogosian DSergachev DElliott GRaddysh FGuttman FJohnson FKurashev FAthanasiou FReichel FPhilp FDickinson FEntwistle FAnderson FKhaira FKatchouk FJones DJones DZaitsev DTinordi DRoos DMitchell DMrazek G
TBLCHIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Seth JonesCHI2627:261:031:5943
Victor HedmanTBL2624:070:561:4353
Mikhail SergachevTBL2423:511:001:4356
Caleb JonesCHI2323:491:022:1331
Ian ColeTBL2522:200:541:3301
Nikita KucherovTBL2020:591:031:5374
Brayden PointTBL2220:450:571:3374
Erik CernakTBL2220:190:551:3201
Brandon HagelTBL2420:020:501:5553
Nick PaulTBL2319:270:511:1713
Philipp KurashevCHI1919:121:011:5050
Filip RoosCHI2118:430:532:0031
Lukas ReichelCHI1917:570:571:5451
MacKenzie EntwistleCHI1717:181:012:0432
Andreas AthanasiouCHI1817:110:571:4330
Anthony CirelliTBL2217:060:471:2723
Ian MitchellCHI2317:000:441:2050
Alex KillornTBL2116:290:471:2514
Taylor RaddyshCHI1916:220:521:3130
Nikita ZaitsevCHI2515:440:381:1404
Tyler JohnsonCHI1915:060:481:2630
Jarred TinordiCHI2415:030:381:1905
Jason DickinsonCHI1714:400:521:5725
Cole GuttmanCHI1914:120:451:0830
Nick PerbixTBL2114:030:401:0902
Luke PhilpCHI1613:590:521:2314
Zach BogosianTBL1513:550:561:3014
Tanner JeannotTBL1612:430:481:1213
Ross ColtonTBL1611:560:451:3212
Jujhar KhairaCHI1711:500:421:0002
Boris KatchoukCHI1811:490:391:0302
Joey AndersonCHI1711:190:401:0202
Michael EyssimontTBL1611:170:421:1203
Patrick MaroonTBL1110:110:561:2700
Corey PerryTBL1410:050:431:1300
Steven StamkosTBL66:481:081:5021