Sat, Mar 11, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Edmonton Oilers 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 76% of the time.
70%
18%
TOR winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Evan BouchardD · #2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 24:59 | 0.08 | 57.0% | +32.9 |
 Connor McDavidC · #97 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 23:53 | 0.37 | 50.1% | +33.9 |
 Darnell NurseD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:54 | 0.05 | 30.7% | 0.0 |
 Mattias EkholmD · #14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:34 | 0.24 | 58.3% | +17.7 |
 Leon DraisaitlC · #29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 21:06 | 0.45 | 48.8% | +2.8 |
 Evander KaneLW · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:03 | 0.26 | 31.1% | +15.9 |
 Zach HymanLW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:00 | 0.50 | 57.6% | 0.0 |
 Cody CeciD · #5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 19:15 | 0.00 | 39.7% | +15.9 |
 Ryan Nugent-HopkinsC · #93 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17:20 | 0.13 | 70.0% | +20.5 |
 Brett KulakD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:48 | 0.02 | 36.5% | 0.0 |
 Kailer YamamotoRW · #56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:11 | 0.00 | 35.7% | 0.0 |
 Nick BjugstadC · #72 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:26 | 0.04 | 32.7% | +15.2 |
 Vincent DesharnaisD · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:41 | 0.00 | 55.3% | 0.0 |
 Mattias JanmarkC · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:17 | 0.14 | 31.9% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McLeodC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:56 | 0.00 | 1.1% | 0.0 |
 Devin ShoreC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:32 | 0.00 | 33.7% | 0.0 |
 Warren FoegeleLW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:25 | 0.25 | 51.3% | 0.0 |
 Derek RyanC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:19 | 0.18 | 33.7% | 0.0 |
 Stuart Skinner#74 | L | 37 | 31 | 6 | .838 | 3.94 | −2.1 | 58:43 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 5 | 22:54 | 0.28 | 72.5% | +55.4 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 8 | 21:26 | 0.90 | 76.7% | +25.5 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21:05 | 0.41 | 58.1% | +36.6 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 20:44 | 0.05 | 32.3% | 0.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:27 | 0.01 | 25.8% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 17:58 | 0.86 | 46.4% | +37.5 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:54 | 0.12 | 46.6% | 0.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:50 | 0.00 | 46.7% | +18.8 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:42 | 0.00 | 90.0% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:15 | 0.06 | 69.7% | 0.0 |
 Erik GustafssonD · #56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.06 | 74.0% | 0.0 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:48 | 0.05 | 62.0% | 0.0 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:43 | 0.00 | 43.7% | 0.0 |
 Noel AcciariC · #52 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 13:15 | 1.13 | 44.5% | +19.1 |
 Sam LaffertyC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:11 | 0.42 | 69.8% | 0.0 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:08 | 0.03 | 59.7% | 0.0 |
 Michael BuntingLW · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:45 | 0.00 | 4.5% | 0.0 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:53 | 0.14 | 64.5% | +18.8 |
 Matt Murray#30 | W | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 2.71 | −1.3 | 60:00 |