Sat, Mar 11, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Edmonton Oilers 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 76% of the time.
70%
18%
TOR winsEDM wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against EDM's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kane–Hyman–McDavid | Nugent-Hopkins–Draisaitl–Yamamoto | Hyman–Nugent-Hopkins–Draisaitl | Shore–Ryan–McLeod | Bjugstad–Janmark–Foegele | Kane–Draisaitl–McDavid | Foegele–McDavid–Yamamoto | Kane–McDavid–Yamamoto | Ceci–Nurse | Ekholm–Bouchard | Kulak–Desharnais | Kulak–Bouchard | Kulak–Nurse | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerfoot–Marner–Matthews | 4:200.22–0.15 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:400.19–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 4:200.43–0.11 | 2:410.00–0.04 | 0:400.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Acciari–Aston-Reese–Kampf | 0:550.05–0.09 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 2:180.01–0.00 | 0:410.17–0.28 | 1:540.22–0.37 | 1:270.16–0.00 | 3:060.01–0.00 | 0:480.28–0.00 | |||||
| Tavares–Nylander–Bunting | 1:580.00–0.10 | 1:210.00–0.00 | 2:030.00–0.10 | 0:440.00–0.26 | |||||||||
| Jarnkrok–Nylander–Lafferty | 1:360.00–0.02 | 0:410.44–0.00 | 1:030.44–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.02 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Nylander–Marner–Matthews | 0:470.01–0.00 | 0:560.02–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Tavares–Marner–Matthews | 0:410.28–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:410.28–0.00 | |||||||||
| Tavares–Jarnkrok–Nylander | 0:410.00–0.14 | 0:320.00–0.14 | |||||||||||
| Brodie–McCabe | 2:500.08–0.02 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:300.01–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.08 | 0:470.00–0.02 | 3:370.08–0.10 | 1:520.00–0.00 | 2:320.01–0.28 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||
| Giordano–Holl | 1:000.07–0.03 | 0:300.00–0.02 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 1:160.07–0.03 | 1:200.00–0.02 | 1:180.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Holl–McCabe | 1:160.00–0.09 | 1:350.00–0.46 | 2:220.19–0.09 | 0:510.00–0.14 | |||||||||
| Rielly–Gustafsson | 0:480.14–0.18 | 1:320.21–0.10 | 0:370.14–0.00 | 1:580.00–0.27 | 0:310.04–0.00 | ||||||||
| Giordano–Gustafsson | 0:510.03–0.00 | 1:070.25–0.00 | 1:000.16–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Brodie–Rielly | 1:000.01–0.03 | 0:380.00–0.28 | 0:480.00–0.28 | 1:310.01–0.00 | |||||||||
| Giordano–Liljegren | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:080.44–0.01 | 0:580.44–0.00 | 1:280.00–0.04 | ||||||||
| Rielly–Liljegren | 0:560.00–0.12 | 1:120.00–0.14 | 1:050.00–0.08 | 1:040.00–0.18 | |||||||||
| Gustafsson–Liljegren | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Brodie–Holl | 0:470.01–0.00 | 1:380.02–0.02 | |||||||||||
| Brodie–Gustafsson | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Holl–Rielly | 0:410.28–0.00 | 0:410.28–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TOREDMFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Evan BouchardEDM | 23 | 24:59 | 1:05 | 2:13 | 2 | 6 |
 Connor McDavidEDM | 25 | 23:53 | 0:57 | 1:52 | 2 | 4 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 26 | 22:54 | 0:53 | 1:50 | 7 | 4 |
 Darnell NurseEDM | 25 | 22:54 | 0:55 | 1:54 | 2 | 0 |
 Mattias EkholmEDM | 25 | 22:34 | 0:54 | 1:37 | 1 | 10 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 25 | 21:26 | 0:51 | 1:52 | 6 | 2 |
 Leon DraisaitlEDM | 21 | 21:06 | 1:00 | 2:31 | 3 | 3 |
 William NylanderTOR | 28 | 21:05 | 0:45 | 2:12 | 4 | 0 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 24 | 20:44 | 0:52 | 1:52 | 0 | 4 |
 Evander KaneEDM | 22 | 20:03 | 0:55 | 1:26 | 1 | 3 |
 Zach HymanEDM | 22 | 20:00 | 0:55 | 2:36 | 2 | 2 |
 Cody CeciEDM | 19 | 19:15 | 1:01 | 1:59 | 0 | 2 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 25 | 18:27 | 0:44 | 1:39 | 0 | 1 |
 John TavaresTOR | 23 | 17:58 | 0:47 | 1:32 | 8 | 1 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 20 | 17:54 | 0:54 | 1:32 | 6 | 3 |
 Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM | 22 | 17:20 | 0:47 | 2:35 | 3 | 3 |
 David KampfTOR | 20 | 15:50 | 0:48 | 1:59 | 1 | 5 |
 Mark GiordanoTOR | 22 | 15:42 | 0:43 | 1:41 | 2 | 4 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 21 | 15:15 | 0:44 | 2:01 | 1 | 4 |
 Brett KulakEDM | 22 | 14:48 | 0:40 | 1:03 | 2 | 1 |
 Erik GustafssonTOR | 16 | 14:45 | 0:55 | 1:44 | 4 | 1 |
 Justin HollTOR | 20 | 13:48 | 0:41 | 1:16 | 2 | 5 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 16 | 13:43 | 0:51 | 1:24 | 1 | 2 |
 Noel AcciariTOR | 16 | 13:15 | 0:50 | 1:38 | 1 | 2 |
 Sam LaffertyTOR | 19 | 13:11 | 0:42 | 1:08 | 1 | 3 |
 Kailer YamamotoEDM | 18 | 13:11 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 3 | 2 |
 Timothy LiljegrenTOR | 17 | 13:08 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 1 | 2 |
 Nick BjugstadEDM | 16 | 12:26 | 0:47 | 1:13 | 3 | 6 |
 Vincent DesharnaisEDM | 16 | 11:41 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 0 | 3 |
 Mattias JanmarkEDM | 13 | 11:17 | 0:52 | 1:32 | 2 | 6 |
 Michael BuntingTOR | 16 | 10:45 | 0:40 | 1:10 | 2 | 2 |
 Ryan McLeodEDM | 15 | 9:56 | 0:40 | 1:02 | 3 | 1 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR | 12 | 9:53 | 0:49 | 1:10 | 1 | 1 |
 Devin ShoreEDM | 11 | 7:32 | 0:41 | 1:07 | 0 | 1 |
 Warren FoegeleEDM | 11 | 7:25 | 0:40 | 1:09 | 3 | 1 |
 Derek RyanEDM | 11 | 7:19 | 0:40 | 0:59 | 0 | 1 |