Fri, Mar 17, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Carolina Hurricanes 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 68% of the time.
23%
9%
8%
60%
TOR winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:28 | 0.03 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:12 | 0.08 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 19:50 | 0.00 | 48.9% | +12.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 18:29 | 0.04 | 50.6% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:51 | 0.49 | 70.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:46 | 0.38 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:43 | 0.37 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 17:38 | 0.36 | 66.2% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 17:34 | 0.07 | 57.9% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 17:15 | 0.25 | 66.0% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:00 | 0.03 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:52 | 0.06 | 61.1% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:45 | 0.02 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:12 | 0.26 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:28 | 0.18 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:22 | 0.62 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:18 | 0.00 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:36 | 0.09 | 64.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 19 | 5 | .792 | 2.23 | −2.8 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:04 | 0.00 | 54.1% | +4.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:43 | 0.06 | 32.6% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:13 | 0.00 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 18:57 | 0.65 | 74.8% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.09 | 44.3% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 17:35 | 0.31 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:32 | 0.33 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17:14 | 0.10 | 40.1% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 16:46 | 0.01 | 72.7% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:34 | 0.00 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 16:25 | 0.08 | 9.2% | +24.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:14 | 0.03 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.02 | 21.4% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:13 | 0.02 | 42.2% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:56 | 0.00 | 23.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 13:38 | 0.32 | 59.6% | +32.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:14 | 0.00 | 20.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 5:39 | 0.19 | 40.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 3.32 | +1.3 | 60:00 |