Fri, Mar 17, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Carolina Hurricanes 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 68% of the time.
23%
9%
8%
60%
TOR winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Teravainen–Necas–Kotkaniemi | Staal–Fast–Martinook | Aho–Puljujarvi–Jarvis | Stepan–Noesen–Drury | Puljujarvi–Kotkaniemi–Jarvis | Burns–Slavin | Skjei–Pesce | Gostisbehere–Chatfield | Burns–Pesce | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarnkrok–Marner–Matthews | 2:230.00–0.03 | 1:470.00–0.00 | 2:390.08–0.09 | 1:080.24–0.00 | 3:170.24–0.06 | 3:000.00–0.06 | 1:490.00–0.00 | 0:320.08–0.00 | |
| Tavares–Nylander–Bunting | 2:470.08–0.18 | 2:370.07–0.09 | 1:070.00–0.40 | 0:420.00–0.02 | 2:300.08–0.37 | 3:070.07–0.01 | 1:390.00–0.41 | ||
| Lafferty–Aston-Reese–Kampf | 0:300.16–0.09 | 2:560.10–0.00 | 0:300.13–0.00 | 1:150.08–0.02 | 2:400.08–0.09 | 0:400.16–0.00 | 2:240.23–0.12 | ||
| Kerfoot–Lafferty–Acciari | 2:340.09–0.19 | 0:370.03–0.08 | 1:320.10–0.01 | 2:000.12–0.21 | |||||
| Tavares–Bunting–Marner | 0:340.00–0.14 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.21 | 0:360.02–0.00 | 1:540.02–0.35 | 1:050.00–0.01 | |||
| Jarnkrok–Kerfoot–Matthews | 0:540.00–0.06 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.06 | 0:300.00–0.01 | |||||
| Nylander–Aston-Reese–Kampf | 2:010.00–0.02 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.02 | ||||||
| Nylander–Bunting–Matthews | 0:410.09–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Jarnkrok–Nylander–Matthews | 0:540.07–0.00 | 1:220.18–0.00 | |||||||
| Brodie–Rielly | 2:110.07–0.06 | 1:570.09–0.01 | 2:360.23–0.03 | 0:460.00–0.01 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:590.00–0.06 | 5:460.30–0.06 | 0:550.00–0.03 | |
| McCabe–Liljegren | 1:040.14–0.00 | 1:230.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.21 | 2:090.14–0.00 | 2:510.22–0.10 | 0:520.06–0.20 | 1:560.00–0.01 | ||
| Giordano–Gustafsson | 1:480.10–0.00 | 0:350.13–0.07 | 1:350.00–0.42 | 1:080.16–0.01 | 3:390.22–0.49 | ||||
| Schenn–McCabe | 1:400.01–0.27 | 1:460.00–0.00 | 0:360.06–0.11 | 0:410.00–0.20 | 3:590.07–0.58 | 0:450.00–0.02 | |||
| Schenn–Rielly | 1:000.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.04 | 1:480.00–0.11 | 1:590.00–0.11 | 1:580.00–0.04 | ||||
| Giordano–Liljegren | 2:160.00–0.16 | 1:460.10–0.08 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.18 | |||||
| Brodie–Gustafsson | 0:540.00–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.08 | 2:090.00–0.02 | ||||||
| Schenn–Gustafsson | 0:400.18–0.00 | 1:340.02–0.02 | 0:320.18–0.00 | 0:390.02–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.02 | ||||
| Giordano–Brodie | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Brodie–McCabe | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:490.00–0.04 | ||||||
| Gustafsson–Liljegren | 0:350.00–0.03 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.03 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||
| Brodie–Liljegren | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | |||||||
| McCabe–Gustafsson | |||||||||
| Rielly–Gustafsson | 0:430.07–0.17 | 0:310.00–0.17 | |||||||
| Schenn–Liljegren | 0:310.00–0.09 | 0:510.00–0.06 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Brent BurnsCAR | 24 | 24:28 | 1:01 | 2:22 | 4 | 3 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 24 | 21:04 | 0:53 | 2:09 | 2 | 5 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 24 | 20:43 | 0:52 | 1:28 | 3 | 4 |
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 22 | 20:12 | 0:55 | 2:22 | 2 | 4 |
 Brett PesceCAR | 24 | 19:50 | 0:50 | 1:19 | 4 | 2 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 27 | 19:13 | 0:43 | 1:17 | 2 | 3 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 22 | 18:57 | 0:52 | 2:15 | 3 | 2 |
 Brady SkjeiCAR | 24 | 18:29 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 5 | 2 |
 Sam LaffertyTOR | 23 | 17:52 | 0:47 | 1:33 | 1 | 1 |
 Seth JarvisCAR | 19 | 17:51 | 0:56 | 1:48 | 4 | 1 |
 Jesse PuljujarviCAR | 19 | 17:46 | 0:56 | 1:44 | 4 | 1 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 19 | 17:43 | 0:56 | 2:04 | 5 | 0 |
 Martin NecasCAR | 21 | 17:38 | 0:50 | 2:05 | 6 | 1 |
 David KampfTOR | 23 | 17:35 | 0:46 | 1:53 | 1 | 2 |
 Teuvo TeravainenCAR | 21 | 17:34 | 0:50 | 2:03 | 6 | 1 |
 William NylanderTOR | 22 | 17:32 | 0:48 | 1:10 | 1 | 7 |
 Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR | 21 | 17:15 | 0:49 | 1:44 | 3 | 2 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 21 | 17:14 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 3 | 2 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 24 | 16:46 | 0:42 | 1:07 | 4 | 3 |
 Mark GiordanoTOR | 21 | 16:34 | 0:47 | 1:39 | 0 | 4 |
 John TavaresTOR | 22 | 16:25 | 0:45 | 1:26 | 2 | 7 |
 Timothy LiljegrenTOR | 22 | 16:14 | 0:44 | 1:25 | 2 | 3 |
 Michael BuntingTOR | 21 | 16:08 | 0:46 | 1:08 | 1 | 7 |
 Shayne GostisbehereCAR | 20 | 16:00 | 0:48 | 1:28 | 2 | 0 |
 Erik GustafssonTOR | 18 | 15:13 | 0:51 | 1:50 | 1 | 3 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 22 | 14:52 | 0:41 | 1:08 | 2 | 2 |
 Jalen ChatfieldCAR | 18 | 14:45 | 0:49 | 1:27 | 0 | 0 |
 Stefan NoesenCAR | 19 | 14:12 | 0:45 | 2:06 | 2 | 3 |
 Luke SchennTOR | 17 | 13:56 | 0:49 | 1:36 | 1 | 1 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR | 23 | 13:38 | 0:36 | 1:06 | 1 | 3 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 22 | 13:28 | 0:37 | 0:56 | 2 | 2 |
 Jack DruryCAR | 17 | 13:22 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 1 | 3 |
 Jesper FastCAR | 21 | 13:18 | 0:38 | 1:12 | 3 | 2 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 17 | 13:14 | 0:47 | 1:33 | 3 | 1 |
 Derek StepanCAR | 15 | 10:36 | 0:42 | 1:14 | 0 | 4 |
 Noel AcciariTOR | 7 | 5:39 | 0:48 | 1:12 | 0 | 0 |