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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 21, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Nashville Predators 7, Buffalo Sabres 3

Away

Nashville Predators

7

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 54% of the time.

BUF winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:11Shot by Evangelista, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 3:12Shot by Novak, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 4:20Shot by Asplund, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 4:28Shot by Quinn, saved by Saros
  6. P1 4:54McDonagh: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Jost, Mittelstadt, Lyubushkin, Power · NSH McDonagh, Duchene, Fabbro, Glass, Tomasino

  7. P1 9:14Shot by Novak, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 10:52Shot by Girgensons, saved by Saros
  9. P1 11:45Goal by Tomasino (Duchene)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin · NSH Duchene, Lauzon, Foote, Glass, Tomasino

  10. P1 13:34Shot by Afanasyev, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 13:54Shot by Okposo, saved by Saros
  12. P1 14:42Thompson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Clague, Thompson, Dahlin · NSH Duchene, Lauzon, Foote, Glass, Tomasino

  13. P1 15:26Shot by Evangelista, saved by Anderson4v5
  14. P1 15:51Shot by Evangelista, saved by Anderson4v5
  15. P1 16:06Shot by Evangelista, saved by Anderson4v5
  16. P1 16:45Shot by Tomasino, saved by Anderson
  17. P1 17:54Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Saros
  18. P1 18:26Shot by Thompson, saved by Saros
  19. P1 18:35Shot by Glass, saved by Anderson
  20. P1 18:43Goal by Duchene (Tomasino, Lauzon)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Lyubushkin, Power · NSH Duchene, Lauzon, Foote, Glass, Tomasino

  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:50Shot by Olofsson, saved by Saros
  24. P2 1:14Jankowski: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Jost, Thompson, Lyubushkin, Power · NSH Duchene, Barrie, Jankowski, Gross, Tomasino

  25. P2 2:27Shot by Dahlin, saved by Saros5v4
  26. P2 3:34Shot by Peterka, saved by Saros
  27. P2 3:36Goal by Cozens (Peterka, Quinn)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Stillman, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Cozens, Peterka · NSH Barrie, Jankowski, Sissons, Gross, Afanasyev

  28. P2 4:00Goal by Novak (Evangelista, Barrie)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Stillman, Jokiharju, Krebs · NSH Barrie, Novak, Sherwood, Gross, Evangelista

  29. P2 4:02Sherwood: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Clague, Thompson, Dahlin · NSH McDonagh, Novak, Fabbro, Sherwood, Evangelista

  30. P2 4:02Thompson: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Clague, Thompson, Dahlin · NSH McDonagh, Novak, Fabbro, Sherwood, Evangelista

  31. P2 4:26Shot by Novak, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 5:11Shot by Peterka, saved by Saros
  33. P2 5:19Shot by Quinn, saved by Saros
  34. P2 6:19Anderson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Clague, Stillman, Krebs · NSH Barrie, Novak, Gross, Afanasyev, Evangelista

  35. P2 6:58Shot by Tuch, saved by Saros4v5
  36. P2 9:21Goal by Evangelista (Novak, Saros)+8 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Clague, Thompson, Jokiharju · NSH Novak, Lauzon, Foote, Sherwood, Evangelista

  37. P2 10:01Goal by Evangelista (Sherwood)+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Stillman, Dahlin, Cozens · NSH Novak, Lauzon, Foote, Sherwood, Evangelista

  38. P2 10:33Shot by Tomasino, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 10:41Shot by Duchene, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 11:02Shot by Barrie, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 12:20Shot by Skinner, saved by Saros
  42. P2 14:02Shot by Krebs, saved by Saros
  43. P2 14:11Shot by Dahlin, saved by Saros
  44. P2 15:52Goal by McDonagh (Evangelista)+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Clague, Jost, Stillman, Mittelstadt · NSH McDonagh, Novak, Fabbro, Sherwood, Evangelista

  45. P2 16:46Fabbro: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin · NSH Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro, Gross, Smith

  46. P2 17:03Sissons: Throwing equipment (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Mittelstadt, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power · NSH McDonagh, Sissons, Foote, Smith

  47. P2 17:17Goal by Thompson (Dahlin, Olofsson)5v3+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Olofsson, Thompson, Dahlin · NSH McDonagh, Lauzon, Smith

  48. P2 18:13Shot by Tuch, saved by Saros5v4
  49. P2 18:58Shot by Peterka, saved by Saros5v4
  50. P2 19:51Shot by Krebs, saved by Saros
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:55Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Saros
  54. P3 1:03Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Saros
  55. P3 1:06Shot by Olofsson, saved by Saros
  56. P3 1:27Shot by Jost, saved by Saros
  57. P3 2:03Shot by Sissons, saved by Luukkonen
  58. P3 2:57Shot by Evangelista, saved by Luukkonen
  59. P3 4:30Shot by Tomasino, saved by Luukkonen5v6
  60. P3 4:31Jokiharju: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Jost, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Dahlin · NSH Duchene, Novak, Lauzon, Foote, Glass, Tomasino

  61. P3 6:22Shot by Tomasino, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  62. P3 6:38Shot by Trenin, saved by Luukkonen
  63. P3 7:43Shot by Skinner, saved by Saros
  64. P3 7:45Goal by Skinner (Tuch)+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Stillman, Thompson, Lyubushkin · NSH Novak, Lauzon, Asplund, Foote, Afanasyev

  65. P3 8:27Shot by Clague, saved by Saros
  66. P3 8:31Shot by Cozens, saved by Saros
  67. P3 8:52Shot by Thompson, saved by Saros
  68. P3 13:37Shot by Tomasino, saved by Luukkonen
  69. P3 17:37Goal by Duchene (McDonagh)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Tuch, Olofsson, Jost, Mittelstadt, Power · NSH McDonagh, Duchene, Sissons, Asplund, Fabbro

  70. P3 17:40Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Saros
  71. P3 18:29Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Saros
  72. P3 19:12Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Saros
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final