Tue, Mar 21, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Nashville Predators 7, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 54% of the time.
38%
8%
46%
BUF winsNSH wins
Nashville Predators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 20:11 | 0.08 | 54.0% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:02 | 0.00 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.05 | 22.7% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:04 | 0.00 | 21.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 18:15 | 0.00 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:11 | 0.25 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:45 | 0.11 | 31.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:13 | 0.07 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 17:08 | 0.06 | 65.3% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:49 | 0.09 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 7 | 15:49 | 0.69 | 75.5% | +28.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 15:30 | 0.45 | 58.1% | +23.7 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 14:35 | 1.09 | 48.6% | +31.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:10 | 0.13 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 13:18 | 0.52 | 49.9% | +31.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:51 | 0.00 | 11.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 0 | 12:08 | 0.00 | 72.6% | +3.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:59 | 0.15 | 16.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 3.53 | +0.5 | 59:58 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 25:44 | 0.05 | 59.5% | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:58 | 0.00 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:13 | 0.05 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:48 | 0.08 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:42 | 0.22 | 57.7% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:55 | 0.18 | 47.1% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 17:31 | 0.23 | 51.8% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:18 | 0.50 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 15:48 | 0.12 | 65.7% | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:44 | 0.45 | 58.2% | +15.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 14:56 | 0.50 | 42.8% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:52 | 0.13 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 14:50 | 0.42 | 45.1% | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:28 | 0.05 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:17 | 0.05 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:27 | 0.40 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 11:17 | 0.01 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:57 | 0.11 | 46.7% | 0.0 |
| – | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1.000 | 1.03 | +1.0 | 23:23 | |
| L | 20 | 14 | 6 | .700 | 2.17 | −3.8 | 35:52 |