Sun, Apr 2, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Detroit Red Wings 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.
59%
8%
26%
TOR winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 22:49 | 0.14 | 54.3% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:25 | 0.04 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:52 | 0.20 | 71.4% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:16 | 0.00 | 33.6% | +0.8 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +4 | 5 | 18:32 | 0.77 | 53.1% | +29.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:20 | 0.27 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 16:36 | 0.10 | 34.9% | +27.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 15:58 | 0.00 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:59 | 0.18 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:54 | 0.19 | 24.9% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 14:32 | 0.18 | 61.6% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:31 | 0.04 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:23 | 0.05 | 28.9% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:41 | 0.00 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:04 | 0.51 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:22 | 0.00 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:11 | 0.25 | 63.7% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:28 | 0.08 | 62.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 45 | 43 | 2 | .956 | 4.13 | +2.1 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 24:08 | 0.07 | 38.5% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 23:27 | 0.50 | 58.3% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 4 | 22:04 | 0.26 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −4 | 4 | 20:34 | 0.33 | 41.1% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:02 | 0.03 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:19 | 0.09 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:49 | 0.03 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:56 | 0.06 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 16:23 | 0.00 | 49.1% | +15.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 15:59 | 0.59 | 42.7% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:42 | 0.20 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:35 | 0.24 | 69.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:08 | 0.66 | 72.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 14:02 | 0.57 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:29 | 0.23 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:09 | 0.25 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:06 | 0.00 | 12.8% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:04 | 0.02 | 38.3% | 0.0 |
| – | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 0.72 | −1.3 | 16:16 | |
| L | 16 | 14 | 2 | .875 | 1.89 | −0.1 | 42:48 |