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Ice Lab

Sun, Apr 2, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Detroit Red Wings 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.

TOR winsDET wins

Detroit Red Wings

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Moritz SeiderD · #53011+3222:490.1454.3%+14.0
Simon EdvinssonD · #30000022:250.0454.8%0.0
Ben ChiarotD · #8011+1221:520.2071.4%+14.0
Jake WalmanD · #96011+1020:160.0033.6%+0.8
Dylan LarkinC · #71303+4518:320.7753.1%+29.9
Andrew CoppC · #180000118:200.2739.9%0.0
Olli MaattaD · #2112+3116:360.1034.9%+27.9
David PerronLW · #57000+3115:580.0038.4%0.0
Marco KasperC · #920000114:590.1825.7%0.0
Lucas RaymondLW · #23011+1214:540.1924.9%+16.3
Dominik KubalikLW · #81011+3114:320.1861.6%+15.1
Pius SuterC · #24000+1114:310.0460.7%0.0
Robert HaggD · #38011+2114:230.0528.9%+16.3
Joseph VelenoC · #900000013:410.0064.3%0.0
Matt LuffRW · #220000313:040.5153.2%0.0
Adam ErneLW · #73000+1012:220.0051.5%0.0
Jonatan BerggrenRW · #52101+1212:110.2563.7%+16.3
Alex ChiassonRW · #48000+1111:280.0862.4%0.0
Alex Nedeljkovic#39W45432.9564.13+2.160:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #44011−2224:080.0738.5%+14.8
Auston MatthewsC · #34011−2623:270.5058.3%+14.8
William NylanderRW · #88000−4422:040.2650.2%0.0
John TavaresC · #91101−4420:340.3341.1%+14.8
Justin HollD · #3000−2120:020.0370.2%0.0
TJ BrodieD · #78000−2219:190.0973.3%0.0
Timothy LiljegrenD · #37000−2117:490.0334.5%0.0
Luke SchennD · #20000316:560.0633.7%0.0
Conor TimminsD · #25011−1016:230.0049.1%+15.6
Calle JarnkrokC · #19101−1515:590.5942.7%+15.6
Alexander KerfootC · #15000−2215:420.2046.1%0.0
Sam LaffertyC · #28000−1114:350.2469.2%0.0
David KampfC · #64000−1414:080.6672.9%0.0
Michael BuntingLW · #58000−1514:020.5762.9%0.0
Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12000−1212:290.2373.4%0.0
Radim ZohornaLW · #530000212:090.2551.6%0.0
Nick AbruzzeseC · #26011009:060.0012.8%+15.6
Wayne SimmondsRW · #24000018:040.0238.3%0.0
Matt Murray#30–752.7140.72−1.316:16
Ilya Samsonov#35L16142.8751.89−0.142:48