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Ice Lab

Sun, Apr 2, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Detroit Red Wings 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.

TOR winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Copp–Raymond–KasperPerron–Kubalik–LarkinLuff–Veleno–BerggrenChiasson–Erne–SuterChiarot–EdvinssonWalman–SeiderMaatta–HaggHagg–EdvinssonMaatta–EdvinssonChiarot–Seider
Lafferty–Aston-Reese–Kampf1:040.30–0.003:430.02–0.171:470.00–0.120:490.00–0.143:140.08–0.291:000.00–0.002:431.03–0.140:440.06–0.000:510.00–0.00
Tavares–Kerfoot–Nylander2:000.03–0.001:090.11–0.053:180.00–0.033:220.05–0.031:270.01–0.002:290.08–0.07
Jarnkrok–Bunting–Matthews2:250.05–0.272:340.00–0.090:590.05–0.004:040.10–0.061:050.23–0.19
Simmonds–Abruzzese–Zohorna1:240.01–0.181:040.02–0.002:060.03–0.050:450.00–0.171:550.02–0.171:520.00–0.180:300.01–0.00
Tavares–Nylander–Matthews2:300.05–0.100:360.00–0.280:390.05–0.001:270.00–0.002:590.11–0.000:340.00–0.38
Jarnkrok–Kerfoot–Zohorna1:110.09–0.331:060.12–0.000:340.00–0.001:110.09–0.330:320.12–0.00
Brodie–Holl4:170.57–0.282:270.00–0.051:490.00–0.332:040.00–0.004:000.13–0.004:500.33–0.194:011.41–0.38
Timmins–Liljegren2:120.12–0.032:160.02–0.102:420.09–0.052:290.00–0.114:350.09–0.033:540.15–0.031:150.00–0.100:320.00–0.05
Schenn–Rielly2:140.08–0.273:260.08–0.172:200.00–0.192:120.05–0.234:270.12–0.462:340.25–0.062:280.03–0.241:180.00–0.00
Schenn–Holl0:300.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:560.00–0.130:380.06–0.00
Brodie–Rielly0:400.09–0.000:310.06–0.001:260.10–0.00
Holl–Rielly0:330.12–0.000:480.12–0.00
Brodie–Timmins0:520.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:520.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Rielly–Liljegren0:380.00–0.000:360.00–0.281:050.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKerfoot FNylander FTavares FMatthews FJarnkrok FBunting FAston-Reese FLafferty FKampf FZohorna FSimmonds FAbruzzese FSchenn DRielly DBrodie DHoll DTimmins DLiljegren DMurray GSamsonov GCopp FRaymond FKasper FPerron FLarkin FKubalik FErne FSuter FChiasson FLuff FVeleno FBerggren FSeider DWalman DChiarot DEdvinsson DMaatta DHagg DNedeljkovic G
TORDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Morgan RiellyTOR2824:080:521:4042
Auston MatthewsTOR2523:270:561:46111
Moritz SeiderDET3222:490:431:47111
Simon EdvinssonDET3022:250:451:4013
William NylanderTOR2422:040:552:0552
Ben ChiarotDET3021:520:441:5123
John TavaresTOR2320:340:542:1351
Jake WalmanDET3120:160:391:3109
Justin HollTOR2620:020:461:1112
TJ BrodieTOR2519:190:461:1311
Dylan LarkinDET2518:320:441:1522
Andrew CoppDET2418:200:461:2146
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2517:490:431:2532
Luke SchennTOR2516:560:411:2702
Olli MaattaDET2516:360:401:3313
Conor TimminsTOR2216:230:451:2611
Calle JarnkrokTOR2215:590:441:1781
David PerronDET1915:580:501:5122
Alexander KerfootTOR2215:420:431:1321
Marco KasperDET2114:590:431:2232
Lucas RaymondDET2014:540:451:2242
Sam LaffertyTOR2114:350:421:4313
Dominik KubalikDET2114:320:421:1312
Pius SuterDET1814:310:481:2218
Robert HaggDET2414:230:361:1312
David KampfTOR2014:080:421:3313
Michael BuntingTOR1614:020:531:3271
Joseph VelenoDET2213:410:371:1212
Matt LuffDET1913:040:411:1310
Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR1912:290:391:2912
Adam ErneDET1612:220:461:1102
Jonatan BerggrenDET1812:110:411:3311
Radim ZohornaTOR1612:090:461:3500
Alex ChiassonDET1411:280:491:1213
Nick AbruzzeseTOR169:060:341:0300
Wayne SimmondsTOR148:040:350:5400