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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 8, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Buffalo Sabres 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 66% of the time.

BUF winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Teravainen–Aho–PuljujarviNecas–Kotkaniemi–JarvisStaal–Fast–MartinookStastny–Stepan–DruryTeravainen–Aho–NecasBurns–SlavinSkjei–PesceGostisbehere–Chatfield
Skinner–Tuch–Mittelstadt3:480.32–0.411:420.06–0.210:490.27–0.003:000.00–0.164:030.45–0.474:150.26–0.082:250.00–0.23
Okposo–Girgensons–Krebs2:500.47–0.183:330.11–0.052:290.04–0.240:330.00–0.014:080.20–0.272:410.32–0.172:550.10–0.05
Greenway–Thompson–Cozens3:230.12–0.311:290.14–0.253:020.00–0.293:490.04–0.253:550.21–0.300:510.00–0.16
Jost–Quinn–Peterka0:330.00–0.160:480.00–0.001:310.00–0.010:430.00–0.000:440.00–0.001:010.00–0.051:530.00–0.17
Okposo–Greenway–Krebs1:020.00–0.030:460.00–0.03
Thompson–Cozens–Peterka0:410.20–0.180:520.20–0.18
Dahlin–Power3:300.37–0.121:110.00–0.252:480.38–0.073:580.42–0.193:520.37–0.140:430.00–0.11
Jokiharju–Power1:430.00–0.621:250.00–0.131:220.07–0.111:480.00–0.010:310.00–0.003:110.03–0.392:540.07–0.202:180.00–0.14
Jokiharju–Samuelsson2:240.32–0.212:080.16–0.150:470.12–0.201:570.00–0.091:430.00–0.173:030.43–0.262:500.17–0.23
Samuelsson–Dahlin3:180.15–0.292:550.11–0.111:220.00–0.032:490.05–0.323:040.10–0.142:170.10–0.00
Stillman–Lyubushkin1:340.09–0.341:130.00–0.170:400.00–0.081:410.15–0.000:390.00–0.082:150.00–0.38
Stillman–Jokiharju1:270.29–0.000:320.09–0.001:260.20–0.05
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKrebs FOkposo FGirgensons FMittelstadt FSkinner FTuch FGreenway FThompson FCozens FJost FQuinn FPeterka FSamuelsson DDahlin DJokiharju DPower DLyubushkin DStillman DLevi GStaal FMartinook FFast FPuljujarvi FAho FTeravainen FNecas FKotkaniemi FJarvis FStepan FStastny FDrury FPesce DSkjei DSlavin DBurns DChatfield DGostisbehere DRaanta G
BUFCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF3225:320:481:3746
Henri JokiharjuBUF3024:470:501:4225
Brent BurnsCAR2924:380:511:1644
Mattias SamuelssonBUF2823:460:511:4407
Owen PowerBUF3123:260:452:0844
Brady SkjeiCAR2922:370:471:4033
Jaccob SlavinCAR2622:060:511:2224
Alex TuchBUF2421:220:531:4143
Sebastian AhoCAR2320:590:551:4151
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2319:580:521:3852
Dylan CozensBUF2419:150:481:3144
Brett PesceCAR2619:080:441:1433
Jeff SkinnerBUF2318:450:491:5252
Martin NecasCAR2118:160:521:4040
Casey MittelstadtBUF2117:560:511:2623
Seth JarvisCAR2117:060:491:3530
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR2116:490:481:1740
Jesse PuljujarviCAR1916:420:531:2431
Peyton KrebsBUF2116:360:472:3927
Shayne GostisbehereCAR2316:330:432:1332
Tage ThompsonBUF1916:080:512:2131
Kyle OkposoBUF2215:370:431:40110
Jordan StaalCAR2215:170:421:0609
Jordan MartinookCAR2215:100:411:1309
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2314:500:391:45110
Jesper FastCAR2014:260:431:1106
Jordan GreenwayBUF1914:110:451:1822
Jalen ChatfieldCAR1913:010:411:1622
Jack QuinnBUF1410:350:452:0630
Jack DruryCAR1310:280:481:2120
JJ PeterkaBUF1110:110:561:3820
Ilya LyubushkinBUF149:300:411:4322
Riley StillmanBUF117:360:411:0620
Paul StastnyCAR96:300:431:0911
Derek StepanCAR86:110:460:5911
Tyson JostBUF105:570:361:1020