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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 8, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Ottawa Senators 7

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 90% of the time.

OTT winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:30Goal by Batherson (Brannstrom, DeBrincat)+18 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Holden, DeBrincat, Brannstrom, Batherson, Pinto · TBL Cole, Paul, Cernak, Colton, Eyssimont

  3. P1 0:52Shot by Stamkos, saved by Talbot
  4. P1 1:23Zub: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Brown, Joseph, Gambrell, Sanderson, Zub · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Hagel

  5. P1 2:26Shot by Killorn, saved by Talbot4v5
  6. P1 2:51Goal by Stamkos (Hedman, Kucherov)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Holden, Brown, Joseph, Sanderson · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point

  7. P1 4:20Shot by Zub, saved by Elliott
  8. P1 9:03Shot by Stützle, saved by Elliott
  9. P1 9:14Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Talbot
  10. P1 9:47Shot by Joseph, saved by Elliott
  11. P1 10:03Shot by Joseph, saved by Elliott
  12. P1 10:57Goal by Gauthier (Gambrell, Sanderson)+18 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gauthier, Gambrell, Sokolov, Sanderson, Zub · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Hagel

  13. P1 13:49Cernak: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, DeBrincat, Bernard-Docker, Kleven, Stützle · TBL Hedman, Paul, Cernak, Colton, Eyssimont

  14. P1 15:43Shot by Kastelic, saved by Elliott5v4
  15. P1 17:59Shot by Bogosian, saved by Talbot
  16. P1 18:28Shot by Kleven, saved by Elliott
  17. P1 19:20Shot by Cole, saved by Talbot
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:41Shot by Pinto, saved by Elliott
  21. P2 1:23Shot by Stützle, saved by Elliott
  22. P2 1:39Shot by Cirelli, saved by Talbot
  23. P2 4:36Shot by Batherson, saved by Elliott
  24. P2 6:19Shot by Kastelic, saved by Elliott
  25. P2 6:21Goal by Brown (Kastelic, Zub)+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Brown, Joseph, Kastelic, Sanderson, Zub · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Hagel, Perbix

  26. P2 6:45Shot by Sokolov, saved by Elliott
  27. P2 7:00Shot by Gambrell, saved by Elliott
  28. P2 7:38Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Talbot
  29. P2 9:51Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Elliott
  30. P2 11:03Shot by Joseph, saved by Elliott
  31. P2 11:46Shot by Sokolov, saved by Elliott
  32. P2 11:56Shot by Kleven, saved by Elliott
  33. P2 12:17Brannstrom: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Holden, DeBrincat, Brannstrom, Batherson, Pinto · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Hagel, Perbix

  34. P2 13:05Giroux: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Holden, Gambrell, Sanderson · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point

  35. P2 13:16Shot by Kucherov, saved by Talbot3v5
  36. P2 13:38Goal by Hagel (Stamkos, Kucherov)3v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Holden, Brown, Sanderson · TBL Perry, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Hagel

  37. P2 14:06Goal by Hedman (Kucherov, Stamkos)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gambrell, Pinto, Kleven, Zub · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point

  38. P2 14:30Shot by Cole, saved by Talbot
  39. P2 15:47Shot by Giroux, saved by Elliott
  40. P2 16:25Shot by Hagel, saved by Talbot
  41. P2 16:31Shot by Hagel, saved by Talbot
  42. P2 17:30Shot by Kucherov, saved by Talbot
  43. P2 18:19Shot by Point, saved by Talbot
  44. P2 18:28Cole: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · TBL Cole, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Cirelli

  45. P2 19:17Shot by Killorn, saved by Talbot5v4
  46. P2 19:41Shot by Pinto, saved by Elliott5v4
  47. P2 19:43Goal by DeBrincat (Pinto, Stützle)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: OTT DeBrincat, Batherson, Tkachuk, Pinto, Stützle · TBL Bogosian, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel

  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:59Shot by Cirelli, saved by Talbot
  51. P3 1:25Shot by Sanderson, saved by Elliott
  52. P3 1:55Shot by Hagel, saved by Talbot
  53. P3 2:07Goal by Sokolov, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Holden, Gauthier, Gambrell, Brannstrom, Sokolov · TBL Perry, Cole, Bellemare, Cernak, Colton

  54. P3 2:52Shot by Batherson, saved by Elliott
  55. P3 3:32Eyssimont: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Holden, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, Stützle · TBL Cole, Maroon, Bogosian, Paul, Eyssimont

  56. P3 4:55Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Elliott5v4
  57. P3 5:06Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Elliott5v4
  58. P3 5:07Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Elliott5v4
  59. P3 5:20Shot by Pinto, saved by Elliott5v4
  60. P3 5:21Shot by Pinto, saved by Elliott5v4
  61. P3 6:01Goal by Point (Hedman, Eyssimont)+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Brown, Brannstrom, Pinto, Kleven · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Eyssimont, Perbix

  62. P3 6:34Shot by Joseph, saved by Elliott
  63. P3 7:49Cole: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Holden, Gauthier, Gambrell, Brannstrom, Sokolov · TBL Killorn, Cole, Stamkos, Hagel, Perbix

  64. P3 8:06Shot by Sanderson, saved by Elliott5v4
  65. P3 9:08Shot by Sanderson, saved by Elliott5v4
  66. P3 9:27Shot by Sanderson, saved by Elliott5v4
  67. P3 9:36Shot by Hedman, saved by Talbot5v4
  68. P3 9:59Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Elliott
  69. P3 10:49Goal by Kastelic (Sanderson)+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Joseph, Batherson, Kastelic, Sanderson, Zub · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh

  70. P3 10:49Hedman: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: OTT Joseph, Batherson, Kastelic, Sanderson, Zub · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh

  71. P3 11:19Shot by Gambrell, saved by Elliott
  72. P3 11:35Shot by Perry, saved by Talbot
  73. P3 12:26Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Elliott
  74. P3 12:41Shot by Pinto, saved by Elliott
  75. P3 12:56Tkachuk: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Holden, Joseph, Brannstrom, Stützle · TBL Bogosian, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Eyssimont

  76. P3 15:08Bernard-Docker: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Tkachuk, Bernard-Docker, Kleven, Stützle · TBL Bogosian, Paul, Cernak, Colton, Eyssimont

  77. P3 17:49Shot by Paul, saved by Talbot
  78. P3 18:48Shot by Stamkos, saved by Talbot5v6
  79. P3 19:41Goal by Giroux (Stützle, Tkachuk)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · TBL Perry, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Cirelli

  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final