Sat, Apr 8, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Ottawa Senators 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 90% of the time.
85%
OTT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 1 | 2 | 3 | −2 | 2 | 22:10 | 0.34 | 41.1% | +53.3 |
 Ian ColeD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:08 | 0.05 | 26.6% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 20:07 | 0.52 | 31.2% | +14.3 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 3 | 3 | −3 | 2 | 19:36 | 0.08 | 37.5% | +53.3 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 1 | 2 | 3 | −2 | 3 | 19:31 | 0.35 | 39.7% | +53.3 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 19:30 | 0.00 | 17.9% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:38 | 0.03 | 26.2% | 0.0 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:15 | 0.24 | 51.2% | 0.0 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:26 | 0.00 | 45.8% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 16:09 | 0.55 | 27.5% | +14.3 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.23 | 33.9% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:48 | 0.14 | 48.2% | 0.0 |
 Zach BogosianD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:47 | 0.03 | 23.2% | 0.0 |
 Michael EyssimontC · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:19 | 0.16 | 54.4% | +14.3 |
 Corey PerryRW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:18 | 0.06 | 12.4% | 0.0 |
 Pierre-Edouard BellemareLW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:11 | 0.00 | 12.8% | 0.0 |
 Ross ColtonC · #79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:02 | 0.00 | 18.7% | 0.0 |
 Patrick MaroonLW · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:56 | 0.00 | 31.6% | 0.0 |
 Brian Elliott#1 | L | 39 | 33 | 6 | .846 | 5.30 | −0.7 | 58:50 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake SandersonD · #85 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 4 | 25:13 | 0.23 | 78.7% | +31.9 |
 Nick HoldenD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 23:06 | 0.02 | 74.5% | 0.0 |
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 22:39 | 0.20 | 49.8% | +22.1 |
 Artem ZubD · #2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 1 | 20:49 | 0.03 | 72.1% | +14.0 |
 Claude GirouxRW · #28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:46 | 0.77 | 45.7% | +0.1 |
 Brady TkachukLW · #7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:12 | 1.08 | 59.0% | +0.1 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:47 | 0.20 | 93.5% | +17.6 |
 Alex DeBrincatRW · #12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:35 | 1.10 | 73.6% | +39.5 |
 Erik BrannstromD · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:14 | 0.03 | 57.6% | +17.6 |
 Shane PintoC · #57 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16:16 | 0.57 | 67.3% | +21.9 |
 Mathieu JosephRW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 14:24 | 0.39 | 73.8% | 0.0 |
 Tyler KlevenD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:40 | 0.08 | 47.7% | 0.0 |
 Dylan GambrellC · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 13:00 | 0.23 | 87.5% | +18.4 |
 Patrick BrownC · #38 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:54 | 0.51 | 57.8% | +14.0 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:08 | 0.00 | 58.5% | 0.0 |
 Mark KastelicC · #47 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 8:25 | 0.22 | 70.8% | +27.6 |
 Julien GauthierRW · #77 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 8:08 | 0.05 | 87.1% | +18.4 |
 Egor SokolovLW · #75 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 6:54 | 0.29 | 86.6% | +14.6 |
 Cam Talbot#33 | W | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 2.78 | −1.2 | 60:00 |