Sat, Apr 8, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Ottawa Senators 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 90% of the time.
85%
OTT winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Paul–Colton–Eyssimont | Kucherov–Point–Hagel | Killorn–Stamkos–Cirelli | Perry–Maroon–Bellemare | Kucherov–Point–Cirelli | Killorn–Stamkos–Hagel | Maroon–Paul–Eyssimont | Perry–Bellemare–Colton | Stamkos–Kucherov–Point | Cole–Cernak | Hedman–Perbix | Bogosian–Raddysh | Cole–Perbix | Hedman–Raddysh | Bogosian–Cernak | Cole–Raddysh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giroux–Tkachuk–Stützle | 1:390.00–0.04 | 1:430.02–0.01 | 1:450.05–0.07 | 1:170.18–0.24 | 1:070.00–0.03 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 3:070.35–0.17 | 3:290.06–0.24 | 1:230.06–0.03 | 0:520.00–0.00 | ||||||
| DeBrincat–Batherson–Pinto | 2:130.23–0.00 | 2:340.19–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.01 | 1:130.05–0.00 | 4:160.36–0.01 | 2:130.08–0.00 | 2:120.02–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||
| Brown–Joseph–Kastelic | 0:550.13–0.12 | 1:460.48–0.00 | 1:000.09–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.22 | 0:440.11–0.00 | 1:090.13–0.12 | 2:040.50–0.22 | 1:030.06–0.00 | 0:410.11–0.00 | |||||||
| Gauthier–Gambrell–Sokolov | 0:570.00–0.03 | 1:110.12–0.06 | 0:470.36–0.00 | 0:540.26–0.03 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:070.12–0.06 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:420.10–0.00 | ||||||||
| Brown–Joseph–Gambrell | 1:100.00–0.00 | 0:460.01–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Gauthier–Kastelic–Sokolov | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Sanderson–Zub | 3:060.55–0.01 | 2:030.23–0.07 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 3:080.27–0.24 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:030.16–0.00 | 2:540.36–0.13 | 4:410.58–0.24 | 2:100.06–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 2:140.21–0.00 | |||||
| Holden–Brannstrom | 3:360.33–0.04 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 1:110.07–0.00 | 1:590.00–0.22 | 1:440.03–0.00 | 4:450.74–0.04 | 3:520.03–0.22 | 2:050.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Bernard-Docker–Kleven | 1:340.03–0.12 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 2:180.12–0.06 | 0:330.00–0.03 | 1:200.00–0.01 | 2:080.21–0.00 | 2:430.00–0.13 | 1:000.05–0.00 | 3:540.21–0.12 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:570.10–0.00 | |||||
| Holden–Zub | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Kleven–Sanderson | 0:490.07–0.00 | 0:350.07–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Brannstrom–Kleven |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jake SandersonOTT | 28 | 25:13 | 0:54 | 2:07 | 3 | 5 |
 Nick HoldenOTT | 28 | 23:06 | 0:50 | 1:46 | 3 | 3 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 23 | 22:39 | 0:59 | 2:24 | 8 | 2 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 23 | 22:10 | 0:58 | 2:21 | 3 | 3 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 23 | 20:49 | 0:54 | 2:13 | 3 | 2 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 25 | 20:46 | 0:50 | 2:22 | 8 | 4 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 23 | 20:12 | 0:53 | 2:16 | 9 | 2 |
 Ian ColeTBL | 26 | 20:08 | 0:46 | 2:16 | 1 | 6 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 19 | 20:07 | 1:04 | 1:54 | 5 | 1 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 19 | 19:36 | 1:02 | 1:54 | 6 | 1 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 23 | 19:31 | 0:51 | 1:48 | 4 | 6 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 25 | 19:30 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 1 | 4 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 22 | 18:47 | 0:51 | 1:53 | 7 | 0 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 27 | 18:38 | 0:41 | 1:20 | 1 | 8 |
 Alex DeBrincatOTT | 22 | 18:35 | 0:51 | 1:36 | 6 | 0 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 23 | 18:15 | 0:48 | 1:44 | 3 | 6 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 22 | 17:26 | 0:48 | 1:24 | 1 | 1 |
 Erik BrannstromOTT | 26 | 17:14 | 0:40 | 1:30 | 3 | 1 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 22 | 16:16 | 0:44 | 1:32 | 4 | 0 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 25 | 16:09 | 0:39 | 1:46 | 4 | 8 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 22 | 15:04 | 0:41 | 1:37 | 2 | 10 |
 Mathieu JosephOTT | 22 | 14:24 | 0:39 | 1:08 | 2 | 2 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 19 | 13:48 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 0 | 3 |
 Zach BogosianTBL | 21 | 13:47 | 0:39 | 1:26 | 1 | 3 |
 Tyler KlevenOTT | 19 | 13:40 | 0:43 | 2:10 | 4 | 0 |
 Michael EyssimontTBL | 21 | 13:19 | 0:38 | 1:23 | 0 | 4 |
 Dylan GambrellOTT | 20 | 13:00 | 0:39 | 1:43 | 0 | 3 |
 Patrick BrownOTT | 20 | 12:54 | 0:39 | 1:12 | 1 | 3 |
 Corey PerryTBL | 15 | 12:18 | 0:49 | 1:17 | 2 | 0 |
 Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL | 18 | 12:11 | 0:41 | 1:16 | 1 | 2 |
 Ross ColtonTBL | 15 | 12:02 | 0:48 | 1:47 | 1 | 1 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerOTT | 17 | 11:08 | 0:39 | 1:41 | 3 | 0 |
 Patrick MaroonTBL | 13 | 9:56 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 0 | 1 |
 Mark KastelicOTT | 16 | 8:25 | 0:32 | 0:54 | 1 | 3 |
 Julien GauthierOTT | 15 | 8:08 | 0:33 | 0:59 | 0 | 1 |
 Egor SokolovOTT | 14 | 6:54 | 0:30 | 1:02 | 0 | 1 |