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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 11, 2023·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Winnipeg Jets 3, Calgary Flames 5

Away

Winnipeg Jets

3

Final

Home

Calgary Flames

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 68% of the time.

CGY winsWPG wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:20Shot by Vilardi, saved by Markstrom
  3. P1 1:21Shot by Scheifele, saved by Markstrom
  4. P1 1:35Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Markstrom
  5. P1 2:26Shot by Greer, saved by Hellebuyck
  6. P1 2:47Shot by Backlund, saved by Hellebuyck
  7. P1 3:20Backlund: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Coleman, Weegar, Zadorov, Mangiapane · WPG Namestnikov, Samberg, Pionk, Barron, Kupari

  8. P1 3:32Shot by Connor, saved by Markstrom4v5
  9. P1 3:55Shot by Connor, saved by Markstrom4v5
  10. P1 4:04Shot by Vilardi, saved by Markstrom4v5
  11. P1 4:17Shot by Iafallo, saved by Markstrom4v5
  12. P1 4:18Shot by Vilardi, saved by Markstrom4v5
  13. P1 4:18Shot by Vilardi, saved by Markstrom4v5
  14. P1 5:29Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Markstrom
  15. P1 7:28Shot by Perfetti, saved by Markstrom
  16. P1 7:37Shot by Coleman, saved by Hellebuyck
  17. P1 8:53Samberg: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Hanifin, Andersson, Sharangovich, Coronato · WPG Namestnikov, Samberg, Pionk, Barron, Kupari

  18. P1 10:00Shot by Coronato, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  19. P1 11:03Morrissey: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Weegar, Zadorov, Greer, Sharangovich, Duehr · WPG DeMelo, Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Appleton

  20. P1 11:57Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  21. P1 12:29Goal by Mangiapane (Ruzicka, Hanifin)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Dube, Ruzicka · WPG Lowry, Appleton, Samberg, Pionk

  22. P1 14:48Goal by Connor (Samberg, Pionk)+18 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Tanev, Huberdeau, Lindholm, Oesterle, Dube · WPG DeMelo, Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Vilardi

  23. P1 16:37Shot by Backlund, saved by Hellebuyck
  24. P1 17:50Goal by Weegar (Zadorov, Duehr)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Weegar, Zadorov, Greer, Ruzicka, Duehr · WPG Dillon, Namestnikov, Schmidt, Barron, Kupari

  25. P1 18:01Shot by Kupari, saved by Markstrom
  26. P1 18:14Shot by Morrissey, saved by Markstrom
  27. P1 18:32Shot by Vilardi, saved by Markstrom
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:50Backlund: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Coleman, Weegar, Mangiapane, Andersson · WPG DeMelo, Scheifele, Morrissey, Ehlers, Connor, Vilardi

  31. P2 0:55Shot by Ehlers, saved by Markstrom4v5
  32. P2 3:00Shot by Connor, saved by Markstrom
  33. P2 3:33Shot by Appleton, saved by Markstrom
  34. P2 3:36Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Markstrom
  35. P2 5:41Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Markstrom
  36. P2 6:19Perfetti: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Weegar, Lindholm, Zadorov, Greer, Duehr · WPG DeMelo, Morrissey, Ehlers, Appleton, Perfetti

  37. P2 6:25Shot by Kadri, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  38. P2 7:02Shot by Coronato, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  39. P2 7:36Shot by Coronato, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  40. P2 9:46Shot by Hanifin, saved by Hellebuyck
  41. P2 11:19Goal by Iafallo (DeMelo, Lowry)+21 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Tanev, Oesterle, Sharangovich, Coronato · WPG DeMelo, Lowry, Morrissey, Appleton, Iafallo

  42. P2 12:35Dube: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Coleman, Hanifin, Andersson, Dube · WPG DeMelo, Scheifele, Morrissey, Ehlers, Connor, Vilardi

  43. P2 12:57Shot by Vilardi, saved by Markstrom4v5
  44. P2 13:10Shot by Vilardi, saved by Markstrom4v5
  45. P2 13:22Shot by Connor, saved by Markstrom4v5
  46. P2 13:37Shot by Scheifele, saved by Markstrom4v5
  47. P2 13:49Goal by Andersson (Lindholm)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Lindholm, Hanifin, Andersson · WPG Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Vilardi, Iafallo

  48. P2 15:17Shot by Appleton, saved by Markstrom
  49. P2 16:59Shot by Tanev, saved by Hellebuyck
  50. P2 18:18Mangiapane: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Tanev, Huberdeau, Lindholm, Oesterle, Mangiapane · WPG DeMelo, Lowry, Morrissey, Appleton, Iafallo

  51. P2 19:15Shot by Iafallo, saved by Markstrom4v5
  52. P2 19:56Shot by Schmidt, saved by Markstrom4v5
  53. P2 19:57Shot by Perfetti, saved by Markstrom4v5
  54. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:17Shot by Backlund, saved by Hellebuyck4v5
  57. P3 0:51Shot by Schmidt, saved by Markstrom
  58. P3 2:23Shot by Lowry, saved by Markstrom
  59. P3 4:12Shot by Ehlers, saved by Markstrom
  60. P3 4:26Shot by Iafallo, saved by Markstrom
  61. P3 4:39Shot by Kadri, saved by Hellebuyck
  62. P3 6:41Shot by Dube, saved by Hellebuyck
  63. P3 8:24Shot by Pionk, saved by Markstrom
  64. P3 8:58Shot by Oesterle, saved by Hellebuyck
  65. P3 9:32Shot by Ehlers, saved by Markstrom
  66. P3 9:50Shot by Coleman, saved by Hellebuyck
  67. P3 14:08Shot by DeMelo, saved by Markstrom
  68. P3 14:18Goal by Scheifele (Morrissey)+35 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Hanifin, Andersson, Ruzicka, Coronato · WPG DeMelo, Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Vilardi

  69. P3 17:49Shot by Hanifin, saved by Hellebuyck
  70. P3 18:28Goal by Lindholm (Mangiapane, Huberdeau)+43 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Huberdeau, Weegar, Lindholm, Mangiapane, Andersson · WPG Dillon, Namestnikov, Schmidt, Ehlers, Kupari

  71. P3 19:53Goal by Mangiapane (Huberdeau, Lindholm)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Huberdeau, Weegar, Lindholm, Mangiapane, Andersson · WPG Scheifele, Morrissey, Ehlers, Connor, Vilardi, Pionk

  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final