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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 11, 2023·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Winnipeg Jets 3, Calgary Flames 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 68% of the time.

CGY winsWPG wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Scheifele–Connor–VilardiNiederreiter–Ehlers–PerfettiLowry–Appleton–IafalloNamestnikov–Barron–KupariNamestnikov–Ehlers–KupariConnor–Vilardi–PerfettiDeMelo–MorrisseySamberg–PionkDillon–SchmidtMorrissey–PionkSchmidt–MorrisseyDillon–DeMelo
Kadri–Sharangovich–Coronato1:060.00–0.001:590.02–0.361:540.10–0.070:320.00–0.000:400.00–0.012:050.01–0.113:180.01–0.002:150.10–0.39
Huberdeau–Lindholm–Mangiapane2:310.00–0.001:100.00–0.010:360.00–0.000:440.04–0.002:300.00–0.001:160.00–0.001:240.24–0.00
Backlund–Coleman–Dube2:040.00–0.000:300.03–0.001:050.00–0.000:450.00–0.000:400.01–0.001:360.00–0.001:550.00–0.001:250.04–0.00
Backlund–Coleman–Mangiapane2:130.00–0.041:360.11–0.041:420.00–0.081:250.00–0.001:320.16–0.00
Greer–Ruzicka–Duehr0:370.12–0.000:470.00–0.072:120.01–0.200:580.12–0.001:010.00–0.002:080.01–0.20
Huberdeau–Lindholm–Dube1:220.00–0.241:370.00–0.260:330.15–0.003:010.15–0.350:310.00–0.16
Kadri–Huberdeau–Ruzicka
Kadri–Huberdeau–Lindholm0:390.00–0.001:100.01–0.00
Kadri–Ruzicka–Coronato0:370.00–0.00
Weegar–Zadorov0:430.00–0.002:000.01–0.165:100.11–0.132:330.01–0.203:140.01–0.044:390.00–0.002:250.12–0.410:500.00–0.090:410.02–0.000:400.00–0.00
Hanifin–Andersson9:210.12–0.980:360.00–0.160:530.00–0.005:270.27–0.243:060.00–0.332:010.00–0.010:300.00–0.00
Tanev–Oesterle1:110.00–0.074:250.04–0.341:080.10–0.072:300.04–0.004:280.01–0.263:130.01–0.022:570.17–0.19
Tanev–Hanifin0:310.06–0.001:000.01–0.001:310.07–0.00
Zadorov–Oesterle0:370.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBacklund FColeman FMangiapane FLindholm FDube FHuberdeau FKadri FSharangovich FCoronato FGreer FDuehr FRuzicka FZadorov DWeegar DAndersson DHanifin DTanev DOesterle DMarkstrom GIafallo FLowry FAppleton FConnor FVilardi FScheifele FEhlers FNiederreiter FPerfetti FNamestnikov FKupari FBarron FPionk DSamberg DDeMelo DMorrissey DSchmidt DDillon DHellebuyck G
CGYWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Josh MorrisseyWPG3126:060:512:03102
Dylan DeMeloWPG2822:130:482:2793
Kyle ConnorWPG2422:000:552:3081
Elias LindholmCGY3221:460:412:27511
Noah HanifinCGY3321:270:391:1625
Gabriel VilardiWPG2321:040:552:3081
Rasmus AnderssonCGY3221:020:391:1945
Neal PionkWPG2820:380:441:2845
Chris TanevCGY3220:260:381:3018
Mark ScheifeleWPG2420:090:502:3081
MacKenzie WeegarCGY3219:200:361:1336
Jonathan HuberdeauCGY2618:310:431:1965
Nikita ZadorovCGY2918:280:381:1125
Mikael BacklundCGY2718:130:401:1626
Nazem KadriCGY2218:070:491:5141
Nikolaj EhlersWPG2317:080:451:1941
Andrew MangiapaneCGY2616:470:391:0534
Blake ColemanCGY2416:290:411:1726
Nate SchmidtWPG2516:290:401:2531
Brenden DillonWPG2315:450:411:2034
Nino NiederreiterWPG2015:160:461:1861
Cole PerfettiWPG2014:520:451:0850
Dylan SambergWPG2414:380:371:1544
Yegor SharangovichCGY2114:330:421:0916
Dillon DubeCGY2414:320:361:1627
Alex IafalloWPG1914:280:461:2942
Jordan OesterleCGY2214:010:381:3015
Matt CoronatoCGY1813:310:451:4732
Adam LowryWPG2212:550:351:1936
Mason AppletonWPG2112:320:361:2333
Rasmus KupariWPG1811:170:381:1544
Adam RuzickaCGY1810:520:361:1213
Vladislav NamestnikovWPG179:570:351:2051
Morgan BarronWPG168:550:331:0144
Walker DuehrCGY147:190:311:0001
A.J. GreerCGY146:520:290:5810