Wed, Oct 11, 2023·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Winnipeg Jets 3, Calgary Flames 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 68% of the time.
24%
8%
62%
CGY winsWPG wins
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 26:06 | 0.18 | 74.0% | +35.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 22:13 | 0.00 | 77.0% | +21.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:00 | 0.65 | 88.4% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 21:04 | 0.92 | 89.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:38 | 0.19 | 97.9% | +18.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:09 | 0.67 | 88.3% | +35.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:08 | 0.09 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:29 | 0.28 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:45 | 0.01 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:16 | 0.34 | 87.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:52 | 0.56 | 86.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:38 | 0.00 | 95.8% | +18.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:28 | 0.44 | 54.8% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:55 | 0.07 | 73.3% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:32 | 0.06 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:17 | 0.20 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:57 | 0.21 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:55 | 0.00 | 51.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 17 | 4 | .810 | 2.13 | −1.9 | 58:12 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 21:46 | 0.35 | 43.4% | +68.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:27 | 0.03 | 21.9% | +18.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:02 | 0.10 | 27.1% | +23.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:26 | 0.01 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 19:20 | 0.01 | 29.1% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:31 | 0.83 | 26.6% | +44.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:28 | 0.01 | 15.7% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:13 | 0.19 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:07 | 0.19 | 7.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 16:47 | 0.92 | 51.6% | +62.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:29 | 0.01 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:33 | 0.00 | 18.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:32 | 0.03 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:01 | 0.04 | 27.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 13:31 | 0.73 | 17.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:52 | 0.07 | 15.5% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 7:19 | 0.00 | 34.0% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 6:52 | 0.12 | 21.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 4.88 | +1.9 | 59:44 |