Sat, Oct 21, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 73% of the time.
21%
67%
TBL winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Nylander–Marner–Matthews | Bertuzzi–Marner–Matthews | Tavares–Nylander–Knies | Jarnkrok–Domi–Kampf | Tavares–Jarnkrok–Bertuzzi | Domi–Kampf–Knies | Reaves–Gregor–Holmberg | Tavares–Bertuzzi–Knies | McCabe–Liljegren | Brodie–Rielly | Giordano–Klingberg | Klingberg–Rielly | Rielly–Liljegren | Brodie–McCabe | Giordano–Brodie | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kucherov–Point–Barré-Boulet | 2:250.14–0.24 | 2:350.27–0.22 | 1:140.08–0.02 | 2:280.18–0.01 | 0:400.35–0.00 | 0:480.05–0.05 | 0:500.07–0.00 | 6:510.55–0.32 | 1:400.24–0.01 | 1:200.00–0.00 | 0:320.05–0.06 | 0:420.35–0.00 | |||
| Stamkos–Cirelli–Hagel | 1:180.00–0.02 | 1:230.02–0.08 | 1:430.00–0.04 | 0:590.00–0.72 | 1:130.15–0.13 | 1:280.19–0.03 | 1:320.00–0.04 | 3:240.22–0.49 | 1:580.05–0.03 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.11 | ||||
| Paul–Jeannot–Merela | 3:400.22–0.60 | 2:330.06–0.00 | 0:330.05–0.00 | 0:550.11–0.00 | 3:150.24–0.60 | 2:300.14–0.00 | 0:480.05–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:430.01–0.00 | ||||||
| Glendening–Sheary–Eyssimont | 0:350.08–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.05 | 2:210.05–0.03 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:590.00–0.22 | 1:350.00–0.05 | 1:200.08–0.03 | 2:590.05–0.35 | 1:230.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Stamkos–Kucherov–Cirelli | 0:570.00–0.06 | 0:520.00–0.01 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.06 | |||||||||||
| Hedman–Cernak | 5:330.36–0.34 | 5:410.17–0.26 | 1:080.00–0.01 | 1:180.17–0.00 | 6:260.45–0.08 | 3:550.25–0.13 | 1:120.00–0.10 | 0:430.00–0.09 | 1:140.00–0.08 | 1:010.00–0.02 | |||||
| Raddysh–Sergachev | 3:550.17–0.27 | 1:270.00–0.05 | 3:130.18–0.01 | 1:140.00–0.12 | 0:340.05–0.05 | 0:310.01–0.00 | 4:560.34–0.29 | 2:480.09–0.06 | 2:390.11–0.12 | 1:230.00–0.05 | 0:400.01–0.00 | ||||
| Bogosian–Perbix | 0:370.00–0.04 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 3:090.13–0.04 | 1:050.15–0.15 | 2:420.13–0.13 | 2:070.00–0.08 | 3:080.21–0.05 | 2:590.05–0.23 | 1:400.15–0.01 | ||||||
| Sergachev–Perbix | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.11 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:390.00–0.11 | |||||||||||
| Cernak–Sergachev | 0:490.00–0.57 | 0:440.00–0.41 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.60 | 0:300.00–0.41 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Hedman–Perbix | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:410.07–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Bogosian–Cernak | |||||||||||||||
| Hedman–Raddysh | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 30 | 26:06 | 0:52 | 1:39 | 3 | 3 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 26 | 25:34 | 0:59 | 1:56 | 6 | 2 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 32 | 25:08 | 0:47 | 1:38 | 5 | 3 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 26 | 24:41 | 0:57 | 1:47 | 6 | 3 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 31 | 24:36 | 0:48 | 1:33 | 3 | 5 |
 Timothy LiljegrenTOR | 29 | 23:55 | 0:49 | 1:37 | 3 | 3 |
 William NylanderTOR | 26 | 22:16 | 0:51 | 1:50 | 10 | 2 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 25 | 21:33 | 0:52 | 1:39 | 1 | 4 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 25 | 21:27 | 0:51 | 2:02 | 8 | 3 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 26 | 20:50 | 0:48 | 1:39 | 1 | 5 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 26 | 20:46 | 0:48 | 1:36 | 3 | 5 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 27 | 20:31 | 0:46 | 1:44 | 3 | 4 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 27 | 19:23 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 3 | 7 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 24 | 19:07 | 0:48 | 1:43 | 9 | 2 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 19 | 19:07 | 1:00 | 1:51 | 2 | 5 |
 John TavaresTOR | 22 | 18:37 | 0:51 | 1:51 | 7 | 2 |
 Tyler BertuzziTOR | 20 | 17:42 | 0:53 | 1:23 | 3 | 0 |
 John KlingbergTOR | 26 | 17:41 | 0:41 | 1:50 | 7 | 1 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 22 | 16:09 | 0:44 | 1:43 | 2 | 2 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 23 | 16:07 | 0:42 | 1:33 | 5 | 5 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 24 | 15:13 | 0:38 | 1:11 | 2 | 6 |
 Alex Barré-BouletTBL | 21 | 15:08 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 5 | 1 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 20 | 14:54 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 7 | 1 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 19 | 14:50 | 0:47 | 1:40 | 1 | 3 |
 David KampfTOR | 23 | 14:43 | 0:38 | 1:14 | 2 | 5 |
 Max DomiTOR | 21 | 14:13 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 3 | 3 |
 Mark GiordanoTOR | 22 | 14:10 | 0:39 | 1:25 | 3 | 4 |
 Tanner JeannotTBL | 18 | 14:08 | 0:47 | 2:20 | 1 | 4 |
 Zach BogosianTBL | 18 | 13:10 | 0:44 | 1:33 | 2 | 2 |
 Conor ShearyTBL | 17 | 12:51 | 0:45 | 1:16 | 1 | 1 |
 Waltteri MerelaTBL | 18 | 11:38 | 0:39 | 0:59 | 1 | 6 |
 Michael EyssimontTBL | 15 | 11:08 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 1 | 1 |
 Luke GlendeningTBL | 18 | 10:57 | 0:37 | 1:22 | 1 | 2 |
 Pontus HolmbergTOR | 11 | 6:52 | 0:37 | 1:00 | 1 | 0 |
 Noah GregorTOR | 9 | 5:52 | 0:39 | 1:00 | 1 | 0 |
 Ryan ReavesTOR | 8 | 5:06 | 0:38 | 0:58 | 1 | 1 |