Mon, Oct 23, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Montréal Canadiens 3, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 57% of the time.
34%
9%
50%
BUF winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:06 | 0.08 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:24 | 0.17 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:03 | 0.11 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:48 | 0.09 | 62.5% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:38 | 0.34 | 90.7% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:33 | 0.00 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:34 | 0.24 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:54 | 0.20 | 54.7% | +27.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:49 | 0.24 | 70.2% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:38 | 0.34 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:29 | 0.07 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:10 | 0.27 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:46 | 0.00 | 39.7% | +8.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:36 | 0.19 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 13:24 | 0.64 | 83.4% | +35.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:50 | 0.02 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 11:14 | 0.27 | 85.8% | +35.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:56 | 0.50 | 56.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 36 | 1 | .973 | 3.32 | +2.3 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 26:12 | 0.21 | 59.5% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22:16 | 0.54 | 76.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:48 | 0.18 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:09 | 0.32 | 38.3% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:05 | 0.34 | 60.6% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:49 | 0.54 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:19 | 0.00 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:58 | 0.00 | 23.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.10 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:28 | 0.09 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:18 | 0.09 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:09 | 0.18 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:57 | 0.01 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 13:28 | 0.44 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:09 | 0.00 | 7.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:52 | 0.04 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:21 | 0.00 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:01 | 0.24 | 35.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 3.77 | +0.8 | 56:53 |