Thu, Oct 26, 2023·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Dallas Stars 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 53% of the time.
44%
9%
40%
DAL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 26:13 | 0.21 | 36.4% | +29.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:07 | 0.03 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:25 | 0.13 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 22:23 | 0.33 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:05 | 0.24 | 29.8% | +24.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:33 | 0.79 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 19:16 | 0.35 | 41.7% | +14.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:14 | 0.30 | 29.0% | +24.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.31 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.33 | 61.3% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:07 | 0.02 | 27.4% | +24.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:38 | 0.00 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:25 | 0.10 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:39 | 0.18 | 29.9% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:48 | 0.16 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:55 | 0.00 | 6.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:54 | 0.01 | 6.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 31 | 1 | .969 | 3.67 | +2.7 | 59:56 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 26:20 | 0.05 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:38 | 0.54 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:04 | 0.04 | 78.7% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:49 | 0.10 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:15 | 0.05 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:07 | 0.27 | 63.5% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:58 | 0.05 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 17:53 | 0.43 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.15 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:53 | 0.24 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:36 | 0.27 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 15:04 | 0.79 | 80.6% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:57 | 0.24 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:53 | 0.01 | 80.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:37 | 0.07 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:49 | 0.15 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:23 | 0.07 | 81.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:22 | 0.15 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 2.39 | −0.6 | 56:23 |