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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 26, 2023·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Dallas Stars 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 53% of the time.

DAL winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tavares–Bertuzzi–NylanderJarnkrok–Marner–MatthewsDomi–Kampf–KniesReaves–Gregor–HolmbergReaves–Holmberg–KniesReaves–Jarnkrok–MatthewsKlingberg–RiellyGiordano–LiljegrenBrodie–LiljegrenBrodie–RiellyKlingberg–LiljegrenBrodie–KlingbergRielly–LiljegrenGiordano–KlingbergGiordano–BrodieGiordano–Rielly
Pavelski–Hintz–Robertson3:050.01–0.061:310.08–0.112:040.14–0.090:450.02–0.002:070.00–0.012:130.04–0.071:470.14–0.001:260.02–0.001:190.15–0.090:540.10–0.09
Dadonov–Duchene–Seguin3:250.10–0.011:530.00–0.211:340.05–0.080:580.13–0.001:550.00–0.011:070.13–0.001:390.05–0.000:510.00–0.140:350.00–0.000:330.00–0.150:450.00–0.000:390.10–0.04
Benn–Smith–Johnston1:410.10–0.270:510.13–0.001:080.16–0.161:050.00–0.250:340.00–0.00
Faksa–Marchment–Dellandrea0:350.05–0.001:140.36–0.000:370.00–0.111:430.36–0.000:330.05–0.000:420.00–0.00
Smith–Faksa–Marchment0:300.00–0.071:490.07–0.021:010.00–0.090:450.00–0.00
Benn–Dellandrea–Johnston0:550.00–0.010:530.00–0.000:360.00–0.011:050.00–0.000:330.00–0.010:320.00–0.00
Duchene–Seguin–Robertson0:330.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Dadonov–Faksa–Dellandrea0:570.09–0.000:480.09–0.00
Suter–Heiskanen1:390.00–0.012:470.12–0.021:550.04–0.112:280.00–0.011:330.16–0.003:290.08–0.023:290.19–0.021:290.04–0.002:400.00–0.000:590.00–0.110:350.15–0.001:050.05–0.010:460.00–0.00
Hakanpää–Harley2:560.05–0.321:320.08–0.142:240.05–0.081:040.09–0.002:210.08–0.260:300.00–0.052:420.20–0.252:190.00–0.141:120.17–0.000:540.00–0.111:120.00–0.00
Lindell–Lundkvist2:340.21–0.003:070.11–0.091:030.12–0.090:340.00–0.021:300.00–0.001:540.12–0.090:520.01–0.000:340.00–0.001:230.10–0.090:560.10–0.090:470.10–0.00
Hakanpää–Lindell1:290.00–0.011:370.00–0.01
Heiskanen–Harley1:020.01–0.070:300.01–0.00
Heiskanen–Lundkvist
Lundkvist–Harley0:330.00–0.00
Suter–Harley0:370.00–0.090:550.00–0.09
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndDadonov FSeguin FDuchene FRobertson FPavelski FHintz FDellandrea FJohnston FBenn FMarchment FFaksa FSmith FHakanpää DHarley DSuter DHeiskanen DLindell DLundkvist DWedgewood GBertuzzi FNylander FTavares FMarner FMatthews FJarnkrok FKnies FDomi FKampf FGregor FHolmberg FReaves FMcCabe DLiljegren DRielly DKlingberg DBrodie DGiordano DWoll G
DALTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Miro HeiskanenDAL2726:200:591:4283
Morgan RiellyTOR3426:130:461:4843
Timothy LiljegrenTOR3024:070:482:1512
John KlingbergTOR2623:250:541:4321
TJ BrodieTOR2922:230:461:3504
Auston MatthewsTOR1920:051:031:4721
Jason RobertsonDAL2219:380:542:0272
John TavaresTOR2319:330:511:4334
William NylanderTOR2119:160:552:5643
Mitch MarnerTOR2019:140:581:4432
Ryan SuterDAL1919:041:001:3721
Thomas HarleyDAL2518:490:451:4340
Jani HakanpääDAL2118:150:522:0911
Mark GiordanoTOR2318:090:471:5913
Matt DucheneDAL2218:070:491:3551
Tyler BertuzziTOR2118:030:521:1113
Esa LindellDAL1817:581:002:3706
Roope HintzDAL2517:530:431:2363
Joe PavelskiDAL2317:520:471:2372
Calle JarnkrokTOR2016:070:481:3113
Radek FaksaDAL2015:530:481:1840
Tyler SeguinDAL1815:360:521:1721
Mason MarchmentDAL2015:040:451:4010
Wyatt JohnstonDAL2313:570:361:2532
Nils LundkvistDAL2113:530:401:1232
David KampfTOR1813:380:451:5503
Evgenii DadonovDAL1813:370:451:1961
Max DomiTOR1913:250:421:3901
Jamie BennDAL2112:490:371:3153
Matthew KniesTOR1712:390:452:1711
Ty DellandreaDAL1712:230:441:1003
Noah GregorTOR1511:480:471:1510
Craig SmithDAL159:220:371:1322
Pontus HolmbergTOR138:550:411:4200
Ryan ReavesTOR128:540:451:4700
Jake McCabeTOR10:100:100:1000