Sat, Oct 28, 2023·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Ottawa Senators 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 59% of the time.
50%
9%
34%
PIT winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 27:14 | 0.11 | 46.7% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 25:58 | 0.00 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:45 | 0.11 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 21:45 | 0.06 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:53 | 0.23 | 75.5% | +25.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 18:26 | 0.09 | 54.4% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:48 | 0.00 | 15.6% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 16:42 | 0.43 | 55.7% | +33.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:39 | 0.09 | 8.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.21 | 8.3% | +0.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 16:27 | 0.45 | 54.5% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:11 | 0.20 | 75.1% | +9.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:56 | 0.44 | 81.5% | +9.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:28 | 0.00 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:40 | 0.20 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:23 | 0.05 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:24 | 0.00 | 73.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7:44 | 0.43 | 45.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 43 | 41 | 2 | .953 | 3.56 | +1.6 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 26:06 | 0.16 | 54.6% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:10 | 0.13 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:28 | 0.19 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:21 | 0.14 | 75.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 18:58 | 0.91 | 67.3% | +7.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18:36 | 0.20 | 68.0% | +7.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17:52 | 0.67 | 70.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:47 | 0.00 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:51 | 0.10 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:25 | 0.00 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:05 | 0.08 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:37 | 0.21 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:18 | 0.04 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.18 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:45 | 0.00 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:26 | 0.15 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:57 | 0.02 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 10:33 | 0.37 | 34.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 9 | 6 | 3 | .667 | 1.19 | −1.8 | 25:28 | |
| – | 17 | 15 | 2 | .882 | 1.91 | −0.1 | 34:32 |