Fri, Nov 3, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Philadelphia Flyers 5, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 51% of the time.
38%
11%
8%
43%
BUF winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:04 | 0.03 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:29 | 0.00 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 19:39 | 0.13 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:12 | 0.05 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:43 | 0.00 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:39 | 0.00 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:26 | 0.55 | 64.8% | +10.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:52 | 0.19 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:49 | 0.07 | 45.3% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:45 | 0.12 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 16:42 | 0.21 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:41 | 0.24 | 43.7% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:24 | 0.09 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:08 | 0.12 | 39.4% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 13:44 | 0.00 | 42.0% | +15.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:49 | 0.22 | 78.3% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:40 | 0.41 | 82.2% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:14 | 0.21 | 78.3% | +3.6 |
| W | 22 | 21 | 1 | .955 | 2.50 | +1.5 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 25:39 | 0.10 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25:03 | 0.00 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −5 | 3 | 24:46 | 0.10 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 21:03 | 0.05 | 49.4% | +2.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:06 | 0.00 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:16 | 0.34 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 16:15 | 0.46 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:09 | 0.39 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:21 | 0.00 | 10.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:15 | 0.01 | 80.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:15 | 0.32 | 40.5% | +2.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.18 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:32 | 0.29 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:17 | 0.00 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:10 | 0.09 | 26.0% | +2.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:57 | 0.09 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.07 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:28 | 0.00 | 1.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 19 | 14 | 5 | .737 | 2.64 | −2.4 | 60:00 |