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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 7, 2023·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Buffalo Sabres 2, Carolina Hurricanes 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 75% of the time.

CAR winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Skinner–Tuch–ThompsonGreenway–Mittelstadt–PeterkaOkposo–Girgensons–JostSkinner–Tuch–MittelstadtOlofsson–Krebs–RousekTuch–Greenway–MittelstadtMittelstadt–Rousek–PeterkaGirgensons–Jost–RousekSkinner–Mittelstadt–RousekOkposo–Greenway–JostOkposo–Girgensons–ThompsonDahlin–JohnsonJokiharju–PowerJohnson–CliftonClifton–PowerJokiharju–JohnsonClifton–JokiharjuClifton–DahlinJohnson–Dahlin
Aho–Necas–Jarvis0:460.00–0.034:050.16–0.071:440.00–0.021:240.11–0.050:410.02–0.002:230.02–0.572:180.25–0.000:420.00–0.003:350.00–0.170:440.03–0.020:370.00–0.00
Teravainen–Kotkaniemi–Svechnikov1:510.02–0.004:350.61–0.160:400.00–0.000:440.04–0.003:440.07–0.271:360.02–0.001:260.58–0.000:510.02–0.000:590.08–0.00
Staal–Fast–Martinook4:530.59–0.040:370.00–0.000:310.00–0.002:420.02–0.001:330.36–0.041:090.22–0.000:360.00–0.00
Noesen–Bunting–Drury0:370.03–0.001:160.03–0.000:430.00–0.003:090.06–0.151:070.00–0.000:430.00–0.000:400.13–0.00
Bunting–Necas–Drury0:360.00–0.000:340.00–0.08
Necas–Kotkaniemi–Svechnikov0:400.00–0.001:030.00–0.00
Orlov–Skjei1:080.22–0.055:450.18–0.012:160.61–0.000:380.00–0.000:570.00–0.020:390.00–0.020:380.03–0.000:430.00–0.001:030.04–0.004:570.07–0.164:220.58–0.001:250.80–0.053:120.02–0.041:170.00–0.000:500.03–0.00
Burns–Slavin6:460.41–0.261:070.00–0.040:570.00–0.260:420.00–0.010:460.08–0.053:520.05–0.013:400.44–0.041:500.00–0.011:540.00–0.150:430.00–0.181:010.00–0.00
DeAngelo–Chatfield1:110.00–0.024:140.03–0.161:010.00–0.040:400.00–0.000:480.00–0.005:280.03–0.910:450.00–0.032:270.00–0.000:420.08–0.00
Orlov–Chatfield0:310.00–0.000:340.04–0.000:320.13–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndStaal FMartinook FFast FSvechnikov FKotkaniemi FTeravainen FDrury FBunting FNecas FAho FNoesen FJarvis FBurns DSlavin DOrlov DSkjei DChatfield DDeAngelo DRaanta GSkinner FThompson FTuch FGreenway FMittelstadt FPeterka FJost FGirgensons FOkposo FKrebs FOlofsson FRousek FDahlin DJohnson DJokiharju DPower DJohnson DClifton DLuukkonen G
CARBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Owen PowerBUF2726:170:582:2143
Rasmus DahlinBUF2823:370:511:3054
Brent BurnsCAR2722:460:511:3054
Dmitry OrlovCAR2321:570:571:3215
Brady SkjeiCAR2421:440:541:3015
Casey MittelstadtBUF2421:390:541:3071
Jaccob SlavinCAR2621:240:491:2114
Martin NecasCAR2221:090:581:3862
Seth JarvisCAR2420:530:521:4065
Sebastian AhoCAR2720:490:461:1655
Alex TuchBUF2520:210:491:3061
Tage ThompsonBUF2520:020:481:3046
Ryan JohnsonBUF2319:260:511:5833
Jordan GreenwayBUF2019:190:582:2142
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2417:330:442:0344
Jeff SkinnerBUF2117:310:501:5241
JJ PeterkaBUF2017:250:521:1551
Connor CliftonBUF2217:030:471:1812
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR2117:000:491:3143
Henri JokiharjuBUF1916:180:511:3023
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2016:070:481:3052
Kyle OkposoBUF1815:280:521:1535
Tony DeAngeloCAR1615:170:572:2231
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1813:490:461:1115
Tyson JostBUF1613:080:491:0912
Michael BuntingCAR1412:570:561:3930
Jordan StaalCAR2212:560:351:0123
Jalen ChatfieldCAR1612:560:491:4511
Erik JohnsonBUF2012:380:381:1306
Jordan MartinookCAR2011:230:341:0622
Stefan NoesenCAR1410:550:471:3031
Jesper FastCAR1910:090:321:0921
Jack DruryCAR1310:080:471:4401
Victor OlofssonBUF109:110:551:3330
Peyton KrebsBUF108:200:501:0630
Lukas RousekBUF106:400:400:5811