Wed, Nov 8, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 52% of the time.
38%
10%
8%
44%
TOR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 2 | 31:06 | 0.10 | 42.4% | +55.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 23:05 | 0.11 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:35 | 0.00 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:46 | 0.27 | 14.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 2 | 20:46 | 0.25 | 68.2% | +56.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 1 | 20:19 | 0.02 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:38 | 0.06 | 23.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:24 | 0.56 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:18 | 0.23 | 54.2% | +33.2 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 16:53 | 0.44 | 67.2% | +54.7 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 15:48 | 0.32 | 73.6% | +34.1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 15:07 | 0.28 | 59.0% | +50.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:54 | 0.02 | 46.6% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:49 | 0.09 | 21.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:50 | 0.06 | 11.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:31 | 0.20 | 48.3% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:18 | 0.00 | 9.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 5:50 | 0.00 | 56.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 2.86 | −0.1 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 24:05 | 0.00 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:42 | 0.02 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:36 | 0.02 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 19:34 | 0.02 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:03 | 0.33 | 50.4% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 18:18 | 0.19 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:04 | 0.24 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16:36 | 0.64 | 80.7% | +19.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16:20 | 0.22 | 81.2% | +36.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:15 | 0.34 | 82.6% | +36.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 15:41 | 0.06 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:40 | 0.17 | 60.7% | +30.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:30 | 0.01 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 13:13 | 0.15 | 45.2% | +30.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:49 | 0.01 | 16.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:46 | 0.41 | 68.6% | +30.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:41 | 0.05 | 14.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:13 | 0.00 | 1.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 25 | 6 | .806 | 3.03 | −3.0 | 60:00 |