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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 8, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 52% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Giroux–Joseph–StützleNorris–Batherson–TkachukTarasenko–Kubalik–JarventieChartier–MacEwen–KellyTarasenko–Kubalik–ChartierTarasenko–Norris–TkachukTarasenko–Chartier–KellyMacEwen–Kelly–JarventieTarasenko–Kubalik–StützleChartier–Kelly–TkachukHamonic–ChychrunBernard-Docker–SandersonKleven–MatinpaloChychrun–Bernard-DockerKleven–SandersonChychrun–KlevenChychrun–SandersonBernard-Docker–Kleven
Marner–Matthews–Knies4:460.26–0.115:220.24–0.180:550.09–0.016:340.42–0.145:110.22–0.290:490.00–0.00
Tavares–Bertuzzi–Nylander2:490.00–0.052:000.86–0.001:470.05–0.031:380.00–0.001:080.02–0.001:170.01–0.006:230.53–0.053:300.19–0.040:400.00–0.001:250.00–0.00
Jarnkrok–Domi–Robertson1:380.09–0.001:510.02–0.001:470.24–0.311:010.04–0.001:180.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:340.17–0.003:050.03–0.212:080.17–0.001:000.00–0.100:510.24–0.001:030.12–0.00
Reaves–Gregor–Kampf1:210.00–0.001:400.00–0.020:490.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:540.00–0.000:390.00–0.000:430.00–0.071:480.01–0.001:460.00–0.001:110.00–0.00
Brodie–Rielly2:280.04–0.047:390.37–0.180:300.00–0.172:050.12–0.000:310.00–0.000:390.00–0.003:500.32–0.206:170.29–0.191:520.07–0.101:360.00–0.001:050.00–0.000:500.04–0.00
Giordano–Klingberg6:110.10–0.381:190.30–0.004:380.24–0.332:210.00–0.110:510.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Lagesson–Benoit0:420.03–0.050:590.18–0.002:300.09–0.080:330.00–0.001:220.00–0.002:160.18–0.182:020.12–0.031:180.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Giordano–Lagesson1:180.10–0.081:030.44–0.001:080.05–0.000:340.00–0.000:420.08–0.003:310.17–0.080:500.06–0.000:350.44–0.00
Klingberg–Benoit0:570.09–0.001:100.26–0.000:570.26–0.00
Brodie–Lagesson0:560.00–0.00
Brodie–Benoit1:020.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Klingberg–Rielly0:450.01–0.000:470.01–0.00
Rielly–Benoit0:380.00–0.000:500.17–0.00
Rielly–Lagesson
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMarner FKnies FMatthews FBertuzzi FNylander FTavares FDomi FJarnkrok FRobertson FKampf FGregor FReaves FRielly DBrodie DKlingberg DGiordano DBenoit DLagesson DWoll GTkachuk FNorris FBatherson FStützle FJoseph FGiroux FChartier FKubalik FTarasenko FJarventie FMacEwen FKelly FBernard-Docker DSanderson DChychrun DHamonic DMatinpalo DKleven DKorpisalo G
TOROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jakob ChychrunOTT3431:060:552:1011
TJ BrodieTOR3424:050:431:2344
Morgan RiellyTOR3323:420:431:3032
Jake SandersonOTT3223:050:431:2166
Jacob Bernard-DockerOTT3221:350:401:1435
Brady TkachukOTT2720:460:461:2212
Tim StützleOTT2520:460:501:3934
Travis HamonicOTT2920:190:421:2914
Josh NorrisOTT2719:380:441:2412
William LagessonTOR2819:360:421:3904
Mark GiordanoTOR2519:340:471:3303
Auston MatthewsTOR2319:030:502:0242
Mitch MarnerTOR2218:180:501:4052
Drake BathersonOTT2417:240:441:2212
Vladimir TarasenkoOTT2417:180:431:2152
Matthew KniesTOR2417:040:431:1222
Mathieu JosephOTT2616:530:391:0064
Tyler BertuzziTOR2316:360:431:1454
William NylanderTOR2216:200:451:2364
John TavaresTOR2316:150:421:3463
Claude GirouxOTT2615:480:361:0055
John KlingbergTOR2015:410:471:2912
Calle JarnkrokTOR2315:400:411:0523
Simon BenoitTOR2215:300:421:1803
Dominik KubalikOTT2015:070:451:1740
Tyler KlevenOTT1813:540:461:5810
Max DomiTOR2013:130:401:1121
Rourke ChartierOTT1612:490:481:1912
David KampfTOR1611:490:441:0503
Nick RobertsonTOR1811:460:390:5621
Parker KellyOTT1410:500:461:1002
Noah GregorTOR1510:410:431:0401
Ryan ReavesTOR139:130:431:0500
Roby JarventieOTT168:310:320:5830
Zack MacEwenOTT106:180:380:5600
Nikolas MatinpaloOTT115:500:321:0710