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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 16, 2023·United Center, Chicago

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Chicago Blackhawks 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 87% of the time.

CHI winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CHI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kucherov–Point–HagelMotte–Eyssimont–JeannotWatson–Glendening–MerelaStamkos–Paul–CirelliStamkos–Paul–JeannotStamkos–Paul–PointStamkos–Kucherov–PaulHedman–PerbixCernak–Sergachevde Haan–RaddyshRaddysh–SergachevSergachev–PerbixHedman–CernakHedman–Raddysh
Foligno–Kurashev–Bedard7:040.01–0.710:420.00–0.051:270.00–0.000:520.17–0.030:400.00–0.001:040.17–0.457:130.01–0.051:200.00–0.051:330.00–0.22
Johnson–Raddysh–Reichel2:080.00–0.093:290.00–0.090:460.02–0.001:190.00–0.001:060.00–0.000:440.00–0.144:060.00–0.161:270.00–0.142:580.02–0.070:460.00–0.001:030.00–0.00
Donato–Entwistle–Johnson1:340.00–0.211:480.14–0.352:050.14–0.131:570.00–0.001:380.00–0.430:420.00–0.00
Perry–Dickinson–Katchouk1:110.00–0.061:420.00–0.140:440.00–0.003:210.76–0.001:400.00–0.06
Dickinson–Donato–Katchouk1:080.00–0.150:560.00–0.10
Perry–Katchouk–Reichel1:040.00–0.26
Jones–Vlasic7:040.01–0.110:360.00–0.000:500.09–0.001:200.00–0.000:400.00–0.002:390.12–0.025:450.01–0.001:530.00–0.001:460.00–0.010:430.00–0.060:310.00–0.00
Kaiser–Phillips1:060.00–0.455:000.00–0.281:010.00–0.000:490.17–0.000:470.00–0.140:310.00–0.055:140.17–0.522:220.00–0.142:200.04–0.140:360.00–0.00
Murphy–Korchinski3:380.01–0.371:540.00–0.152:000.05–0.401:050.00–0.000:320.00–0.003:070.05–0.201:110.00–0.003:550.00–0.480:360.01–0.081:230.00–0.180:490.00–0.00
Jones–Kaiser0:480.00–0.100:420.00–0.000:550.00–0.10
Jones–Korchinski0:370.00–0.030:400.56–0.001:070.00–0.03
Murphy–Vlasic0:490.00–0.020:430.00–0.020:490.00–0.16
Vlasic–Phillips0:450.00–0.040:300.02–0.000:370.17–0.040:470.02–0.00
Murphy–Phillips0:570.00–0.26
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndFoligno FKurashev FBedard FRaddysh FReichel FJohnson FKatchouk FPerry FDickinson FJohnson FEntwistle FDonato FJones DVlasic DKorchinski DMurphy DKaiser DPhillips DMrazek GPoint FHagel FKucherov FCirelli FPaul FStamkos FJeannot FEyssimont FMotte FMerela FWatson FGlendening FCernak DSergachev DPerbix DHedman DRaddysh Dde Haan DJohansson G
CHITBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Seth JonesCHI2824:540:531:4183
Victor HedmanTBL2724:130:542:2261
Brayden PointTBL2724:060:541:4472
Mikhail SergachevTBL3023:290:471:2544
Nikita KucherovTBL2423:080:582:1262
Brandon HagelTBL2422:050:551:4451
Alex VlasicCHI2922:010:461:4366
Erik CernakTBL2720:080:451:2524
Connor BedardCHI1919:171:012:2062
Connor MurphyCHI2618:520:441:2803
Philipp KurashevCHI2018:390:562:0842
Lukas ReichelCHI2018:280:551:3931
Darren RaddyshTBL2618:260:431:3410
Steven StamkosTBL2018:030:541:5631
Kevin KorchinskiCHI2417:550:451:3111
Nick FolignoCHI2317:140:451:1654
Isaak PhillipsCHI2117:020:491:4003
Taylor RaddyshCHI2016:560:511:2912
Nick PaulTBL2016:450:501:5923
Nick PerbixTBL2016:130:492:2131
Wyatt KaiserCHI2115:260:441:3602
Tyler MotteTBL2015:120:461:3141
Tanner JeannotTBL1914:380:461:1520
Tyler JohnsonCHI1914:310:461:1513
Jason DickinsonCHI2214:110:391:3415
Calvin de HaanTBL2113:210:381:1410
Boris KatchoukCHI1613:060:491:2511
Corey PerryCHI1412:500:551:2921
Michael EyssimontTBL1912:430:401:1930
Ryan DonatoCHI1511:370:461:1802
MacKenzie EntwistleCHI1611:060:421:0603
Reese JohnsonCHI1610:210:391:0403
Luke GlendeningTBL1810:160:341:0934
Waltteri MerelaTBL148:450:381:0110
Austin WatsonTBL137:190:341:0211
Anthony CirelliTBL95:520:390:5801