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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 22, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Winnipeg Jets 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 57% of the time.

TBL winsWPG wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Scheifele–Connor–IafalloNamestnikov–Ehlers–PerfettiNiederreiter–Lowry–AppletonJonsson-Fjallby–Barron–GustafssonScheifele–Connor–AppletonNiederreiter–Namestnikov–AppletonDillon–PionkDeMelo–MorrisseySchmidt–SambergDeMelo–Samberg
Kucherov–Point–Hagel11:001.42–0.460:420.12–0.131:280.00–0.193:510.37–0.267:121.18–0.592:140.00–0.210:310.00–0.00
Stamkos–Cirelli–Eyssimont0:360.00–0.076:130.31–0.031:360.04–0.002:330.00–0.073:220.31–0.032:470.04–0.00
Motte–Paul–Jeannot0:300.12–0.006:510.05–0.060:320.03–0.003:270.04–0.002:350.03–0.021:470.12–0.00
Watson–Glendening–Koepke0:370.00–0.123:040.03–0.162:160.03–0.141:240.00–0.020:410.00–0.12
Stamkos–Paul–Cirelli2:560.00–0.162:030.00–0.04
Motte–Eyssimont–Jeannot2:200.09–0.001:540.03–0.000:300.03–0.00
Stamkos–Kucherov–Point0:320.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Kucherov–Paul–Hagel0:500.13–0.000:500.13–0.00
Cernak–Sergachev4:291.13–0.244:230.28–0.123:150.00–0.002:050.03–0.140:360.03–0.005:570.12–0.146:271.23–0.362:580.12–0.03
Hedman–Perbix5:180.30–0.182:220.05–0.212:330.09–0.001:170.00–0.025:000.29–0.354:280.11–0.302:390.04–0.04
de Haan–Raddysh0:310.00–0.074:480.13–0.073:380.05–0.021:570.00–0.023:250.04–0.072:330.00–0.023:310.00–0.051:050.13–0.00
Hedman–Raddysh1:490.12–0.050:360.02–0.001:120.04–0.002:290.21–0.05
Raddysh–Sergachev0:480.12–0.001:390.03–0.151:230.00–0.000:530.16–0.020:490.00–0.12
Hedman–Cernak1:050.03–0.000:430.04–0.000:340.00–0.170:570.00–0.001:010.04–0.17
Sergachev–Perbix0:410.10–0.001:030.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndEyssimont FMotte FJeannot FKucherov FPoint FHagel FCirelli FPaul FStamkos FKoepke FWatson FGlendening FCernak DSergachev DPerbix DHedman DRaddysh Dde Haan DJohansson GLowry FAppleton FNiederreiter FScheifele FIafallo FConnor FNamestnikov FEhlers FPerfetti FJonsson-Fjallby FGustafsson FBarron FPionk DDillon DMorrissey DDeMelo DSamberg DSchmidt DHellebuyck G
TBLWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mikhail SergachevTBL2724:000:531:3113
Victor HedmanTBL2623:470:551:1923
Josh MorrisseyWPG2723:200:521:3841
Dylan DeMeloWPG2823:030:491:4112
Neal PionkWPG2922:160:462:1324
Brenden DillonWPG2722:140:492:0413
Erik CernakTBL2522:040:531:4612
Mark ScheifeleWPG2321:560:571:3843
Nikita KucherovTBL2221:000:571:3771
Darren RaddyshTBL2021:001:031:4900
Brandon HagelTBL2320:510:541:4552
Kyle ConnorWPG2320:340:541:3843
Brayden PointTBL2219:180:531:3270
Anthony CirelliTBL2218:470:511:1823
Alex IafalloWPG2118:260:531:3832
Mason AppletonWPG2017:490:531:2113
Cole PerfettiWPG1717:471:032:0032
Steven StamkosTBL2017:210:521:1933
Adam LowryWPG2417:180:431:2615
Tyler MotteTBL2217:090:471:2021
Nino NiederreiterWPG2016:550:511:2402
Vladislav NamestnikovWPG2016:170:491:3033
Nikolaj EhlersWPG1915:570:501:3622
Nick PerbixTBL2015:550:481:4810
Nick PaulTBL1715:400:551:3931
Michael EyssimontTBL2014:440:441:1912
Calvin de HaanTBL1714:390:521:3220
Dylan SambergWPG1914:210:451:1503
Nate SchmidtWPG2014:000:421:1512
Tanner JeannotTBL1813:180:441:1720
Luke GlendeningTBL128:290:421:2001
Morgan BarronWPG118:090:441:0011
David GustafssonWPG107:150:441:0002
Cole KoepkeTBL96:390:441:1900
Axel Jonsson-FjallbyWPG96:390:441:0001
Austin WatsonTBL96:380:441:3100