Fri, Nov 24, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 87% of the time.
82%
9%
BUF winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:48 | 0.13 | 27.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24:38 | 0.08 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:23 | 0.05 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:58 | 0.09 | 32.9% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:58 | 0.30 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19:14 | 0.26 | 37.6% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:13 | 0.00 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:08 | 0.31 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:31 | 0.12 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:01 | 0.47 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:26 | 0.38 | 36.7% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:03 | 0.13 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:22 | 0.02 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:45 | 0.07 | 21.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:42 | 0.06 | 17.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 8:25 | 0.04 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:16 | 0.00 | 71.7% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:33 | 0.01 | 31.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 3.82 | +0.8 | 58:45 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 26:07 | 0.33 | 58.2% | +33.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25:01 | 1.46 | 64.5% | +54.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:01 | 0.10 | 54.4% | +40.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 8 | 21:57 | 0.73 | 66.2% | +54.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:47 | 0.00 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:08 | 1.14 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:39 | 0.02 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:37 | 0.03 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:32 | 0.31 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 14:28 | 0.45 | 75.2% | +33.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14:09 | 0.07 | 45.6% | +47.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:54 | 0.15 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:12 | 0.00 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:39 | 0.01 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:20 | 0.02 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:13 | 0.03 | 82.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:51 | 0.16 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:35 | 0.27 | 64.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 2.52 | +0.5 | 59:50 |