Fri, Nov 24, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 87% of the time.
82%
9%
BUF winsPIT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Crosby–Guentzel–O'Connor | Malkin–Smith–Nylander | Eller–Hinostroza–Zohorna | Carter–Nieto–Acciari | Malkin–Smith–Hinostroza | Malkin–Hinostroza–Zohorna | Karlsson–Pettersson | Letang–Graves | Shea–Ludvig | Letang–Pettersson | Karlsson–Ludvig | Letang–Shea | Karlsson–Graves | Letang–Karlsson | Letang–Ludvig | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skinner–Tuch–Mittelstadt | 5:020.20–0.11 | 3:310.26–0.13 | 1:290.29–0.03 | 0:570.00–0.01 | 4:450.13–0.06 | 3:150.13–0.03 | 1:450.14–0.06 | 0:520.02–0.07 | |||||||
| Okposo–Girgensons–Krebs | 1:220.00–0.12 | 1:370.22–0.14 | 1:410.19–0.00 | 1:030.14–0.00 | 1:450.06–0.14 | 1:010.22–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.12 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Cozens–Peterka–Benson | 1:090.00–0.05 | 1:590.00–0.27 | 1:200.12–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.05 | 2:350.09–0.27 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Olofsson–Jost–Cozens | 0:460.00–0.12 | 0:470.00–0.12 | 0:450.08–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Okposo–Olofsson–Krebs | 0:590.11–0.06 | 0:560.13–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Olofsson–Jost–Krebs | 1:000.00–0.04 | 0:560.00–0.04 | |||||||||||||
| Olofsson–Jost–Benson | 0:410.08–0.00 | 0:590.10–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Mittelstadt–Peterka–Benson | 0:320.00–0.09 | ||||||||||||||
| Olofsson–Cozens–Benson | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:420.02–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Skinner–Olofsson–Mittelstadt | 0:520.00–0.08 | ||||||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 5:320.05–0.10 | 5:090.26–0.02 | 0:370.11–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Johnson–Clifton | 1:540.00–0.26 | 3:000.26–0.12 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:130.13–0.12 | 2:420.10–0.28 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Jokiharju–Power | 2:090.05–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.07 | 0:490.00–0.04 | 0:530.01–0.03 | 1:380.00–0.00 | 0:550.02–0.06 | 0:410.11–0.00 | ||||||||
| Dahlin–Johnson | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:590.08–0.07 | 0:560.00–0.02 | 0:410.06–0.00 | 2:310.00–0.02 | 0:390.02–0.07 | |||||||||
| Samuelsson–Power | 2:060.05–0.05 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 2:180.05–0.05 | 0:490.05–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Clifton–Johnson | 1:080.11–0.00 | 1:210.20–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.02 | 0:490.11–0.00 | 2:000.21–0.02 | ||||||||||
| Johnson–Power | 1:400.03–0.42 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.01 | 1:100.00–0.36 | 0:340.04–0.06 | ||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Dahlin | 0:390.08–0.00 | 2:070.00–0.01 | 0:420.02–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.01 | 1:470.08–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Samuelsson | 0:540.00–0.04 | 0:310.29–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.04 | 0:470.29–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Dahlin–Power | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.30 | |||||||||||||
| Johnson–Samuelsson | 0:450.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 30 | 26:07 | 0:52 | 2:08 | 8 | 5 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 30 | 25:01 | 0:50 | 1:58 | 10 | 4 |
 Erik KarlssonPIT | 26 | 24:48 | 0:57 | 3:00 | 5 | 2 |
 Kris LetangPIT | 26 | 24:38 | 0:57 | 2:04 | 4 | 5 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 27 | 24:01 | 0:53 | 2:09 | 9 | 3 |
 Marcus PetterssonPIT | 23 | 22:23 | 0:58 | 1:52 | 1 | 3 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 26 | 21:57 | 0:51 | 2:02 | 9 | 1 |
 Jake GuentzelPIT | 25 | 21:04 | 0:51 | 2:10 | 7 | 3 |
 Evgeni MalkinPIT | 22 | 20:58 | 0:57 | 1:38 | 4 | 0 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 25 | 20:47 | 0:50 | 2:06 | 1 | 7 |
 Sidney CrosbyPIT | 24 | 19:14 | 0:48 | 1:51 | 8 | 2 |
 Ryan GravesPIT | 26 | 19:13 | 0:44 | 1:50 | 2 | 3 |
 Reilly SmithPIT | 24 | 19:08 | 0:48 | 1:27 | 4 | 1 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 25 | 18:08 | 0:44 | 1:09 | 2 | 5 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 22 | 17:39 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 1 | 2 |
 Drew O'ConnorPIT | 25 | 17:31 | 0:42 | 1:32 | 5 | 4 |
 Alex NylanderPIT | 20 | 16:01 | 0:48 | 1:29 | 3 | 0 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 18 | 14:37 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 1 | 3 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 20 | 14:32 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 1 | 0 |
 Lars EllerPIT | 21 | 14:31 | 0:41 | 2:07 | 1 | 2 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 22 | 14:28 | 0:39 | 1:26 | 0 | 5 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 19 | 14:09 | 0:45 | 2:23 | 2 | 3 |
 Vinnie HinostrozaPIT | 17 | 14:03 | 0:50 | 1:17 | 2 | 0 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 18 | 13:54 | 0:46 | 1:29 | 2 | 3 |
 Ryan SheaPIT | 16 | 13:22 | 0:50 | 1:34 | 0 | 3 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 22 | 13:12 | 0:36 | 1:24 | 2 | 2 |
 Radim ZohornaPIT | 16 | 12:45 | 0:48 | 1:17 | 2 | 1 |
 Ryan JohnsonBUF | 14 | 12:39 | 0:54 | 1:17 | 1 | 2 |
 Erik JohnsonBUF | 18 | 12:20 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 2 | 4 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 17 | 12:13 | 0:43 | 1:03 | 2 | 1 |
 Tyson JostBUF | 18 | 11:51 | 0:40 | 1:07 | 3 | 4 |
 John LudvigPIT | 15 | 11:42 | 0:47 | 1:41 | 0 | 3 |
 Noel AcciariPIT | 15 | 8:25 | 0:34 | 1:48 | 1 | 8 |
 Matt NietoPIT | 15 | 8:16 | 0:33 | 0:57 | 1 | 7 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 11 | 6:35 | 0:36 | 1:04 | 1 | 1 |
 Jeff CarterPIT | 12 | 6:33 | 0:33 | 0:46 | 2 | 4 |