Mon, Nov 27, 2023·Ball Arena, Denver
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Colorado Avalanche 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 55% of the time.
46%
9%
38%
COL winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 24:11 | 0.52 | 41.9% | +5.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:11 | 0.00 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:42 | 0.03 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 19:41 | 0.56 | 50.5% | +5.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:36 | 0.32 | 51.2% | +5.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:35 | 0.33 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 19:12 | 0.40 | 72.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:57 | 0.24 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:01 | 0.02 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:57 | 0.17 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:02 | 0.02 | 69.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.00 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14:06 | 0.47 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:39 | 0.15 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:58 | 0.02 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:39 | 0.04 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:30 | 0.56 | 75.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:12 | 0.00 | 20.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 2.80 | −0.2 | 58:32 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 26:28 | 0.18 | 68.1% | +20.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:58 | 1.07 | 50.5% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:20 | 0.00 | 41.6% | +7.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:17 | 0.13 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 21:45 | 0.23 | 54.6% | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:40 | 0.03 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:47 | 0.02 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.15 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:34 | 0.02 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:36 | 0.19 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:25 | 0.00 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:37 | 0.56 | 69.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:36 | 0.24 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:32 | 0.64 | 75.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:32 | 0.13 | 39.6% | +12.9 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 10:58 | 0.40 | 33.9% | +29.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 10:58 | 0.04 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:10 | 0.04 | 75.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 39 | 38 | 1 | .974 | 3.84 | +2.8 | 59:55 |