Thu, Nov 30, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 53% of the time.
43%
10%
39%
TBL winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 26:32 | 0.02 | 67.1% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 24:13 | 0.10 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 24:11 | 0.05 | 29.9% | +24.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 21:44 | 0.21 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:59 | 0.40 | 43.7% | +13.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:19 | 0.18 | 45.1% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:53 | 0.10 | 17.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:46 | 0.74 | 50.4% | +24.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15:57 | 0.47 | 48.5% | +24.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:42 | 0.16 | 29.3% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:35 | 0.00 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:19 | 0.03 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:53 | 0.04 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:25 | 0.06 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:04 | 0.16 | 44.1% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:54 | 0.00 | 13.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:43 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:54 | 0.00 | 0.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 41 | 39 | 2 | .951 | 3.17 | +1.2 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 24:59 | 0.14 | 62.9% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 8 | 24:10 | 0.51 | 65.3% | +31.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:32 | 0.12 | 45.9% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 22:15 | 0.26 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:35 | 0.10 | 72.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 20:22 | 0.69 | 66.9% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:50 | 0.19 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:16 | 0.14 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:24 | 0.00 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:00 | 0.18 | 70.6% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:44 | 0.08 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:36 | 0.06 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:03 | 0.13 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:46 | 0.04 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:02 | 0.26 | 79.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:36 | 0.12 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:52 | 0.00 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 5:10 | 0.15 | 43.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.07 | −0.9 | 58:48 |