Sat, Dec 2, 2023·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Buffalo Sabres 2, Carolina Hurricanes 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 92% of the time.
89%
CAR winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Skinner–Tuch–Mittelstadt | Cozens–Peterka–Benson | Okposo–Krebs–Biro | Okposo–Greenway–Krebs | Olofsson–Jost–Peterka | Jost–Krebs–Biro | Olofsson–Jost–Biro | Okposo–Olofsson–Krebs | Okposo–Jost–Krebs | Olofsson–Cozens–Peterka | Samuelsson–Dahlin | Jokiharju–Power | Johnson–Clifton | Clifton–Jokiharju | Johnson–Power | Clifton–Power | Jokiharju–Samuelsson | Clifton–Dahlin | Johnson–Samuelsson | Jokiharju–Dahlin | Clifton–Samuelsson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staal–Fast–Martinook | 8:230.85–0.10 | 6:020.66–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 1:500.07–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.03 | ||||||||||||||||
| Bunting–Aho–Jarvis | 5:160.37–0.06 | 0:540.00–0.03 | 0:390.11–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:040.02–0.09 | 3:430.25–0.08 | 1:030.15–0.00 | 1:570.11–0.00 | 1:440.17–0.03 | 0:460.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Teravainen–Kotkaniemi–Svechnikov | 2:330.32–0.11 | 2:230.08–0.04 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:510.01–0.00 | 1:490.31–0.06 | 1:290.03–0.01 | 1:310.29–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 0:490.03–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.04 | ||||||||||
| Noesen–Necas–Drury | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:020.09–0.01 | 1:350.11–0.07 | 1:120.28–0.10 | 1:060.25–0.00 | 3:250.66–0.01 | 1:200.09–0.00 | 1:150.37–0.06 | 0:530.28–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.07 | 0:420.00–0.04 | 0:330.06–0.00 | |||||||||
| Fast–Martinook–Drury | 1:240.02–0.00 | 1:130.02–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Noesen–Necas–Kotkaniemi | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Necas–Kotkaniemi–Svechnikov | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Skjei–Pesce | 7:080.80–0.00 | 1:560.02–0.01 | 0:330.11–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 8:161.11–0.01 | 1:420.00–0.00 | 1:270.21–0.00 | 2:180.11–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 0:320.06–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Burns–Slavin | 5:120.44–0.13 | 4:080.44–0.01 | 1:540.00–0.10 | 2:320.34–0.09 | 3:500.34–0.03 | 2:430.23–0.00 | 2:120.20–0.07 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.03 | ||||||||||||
| Orlov–Chatfield | 1:290.00–0.07 | 1:130.00–0.05 | 1:060.11–0.00 | 2:180.08–0.10 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:160.28–0.10 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:530.01–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 3:080.11–0.00 | 3:250.03–0.11 | 2:090.21–0.06 | 1:310.28–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.04 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.04 | |||||
| Orlov–Skjei | 0:320.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CARBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Brady SkjeiCAR | 24 | 24:20 | 1:01 | 1:55 | 0 | 3 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 25 | 24:03 | 0:58 | 1:43 | 7 | 2 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 22 | 23:55 | 1:05 | 3:07 | 2 | 2 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 23 | 23:20 | 1:01 | 1:51 | 6 | 1 |
 Brett PesceCAR | 24 | 23:04 | 0:58 | 1:48 | 1 | 3 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 24 | 22:20 | 0:56 | 1:51 | 8 | 1 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 23 | 20:44 | 0:54 | 1:49 | 5 | 3 |
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 24 | 19:54 | 0:50 | 1:30 | 3 | 0 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 24 | 19:46 | 0:49 | 1:51 | 1 | 3 |
 Brent BurnsCAR | 25 | 19:06 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 4 | 1 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 22 | 18:42 | 0:51 | 1:20 | 1 | 1 |
 Seth JarvisCAR | 22 | 17:33 | 0:48 | 1:37 | 3 | 4 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 23 | 17:28 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 3 | 3 |
 Dmitry OrlovCAR | 20 | 17:16 | 0:52 | 1:40 | 3 | 1 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 22 | 16:49 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 1 | 2 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 19 | 16:30 | 0:52 | 1:28 | 1 | 5 |
 Jesper FastCAR | 18 | 16:28 | 0:55 | 1:31 | 1 | 1 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 22 | 16:22 | 0:45 | 2:00 | 2 | 5 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 19 | 16:14 | 0:51 | 1:17 | 1 | 2 |
 Jalen ChatfieldCAR | 20 | 15:48 | 0:47 | 1:40 | 4 | 1 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 20 | 15:36 | 0:47 | 1:31 | 0 | 2 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 20 | 15:16 | 0:46 | 1:42 | 2 | 0 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 18 | 15:09 | 0:51 | 1:21 | 1 | 2 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 18 | 14:57 | 0:50 | 1:46 | 3 | 4 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 19 | 14:45 | 0:47 | 1:30 | 0 | 3 |
 Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR | 17 | 13:11 | 0:47 | 1:15 | 4 | 2 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 17 | 12:58 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 4 | 2 |
 Martin NecasCAR | 16 | 12:58 | 0:49 | 1:30 | 3 | 0 |
 Teuvo TeravainenCAR | 19 | 12:55 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 4 | 3 |
 Jack DruryCAR | 16 | 12:50 | 0:48 | 1:22 | 2 | 0 |
 Erik JohnsonBUF | 18 | 12:40 | 0:42 | 1:31 | 0 | 3 |
 Michael BuntingCAR | 15 | 11:53 | 0:48 | 1:37 | 2 | 0 |
 Stefan NoesenCAR | 15 | 11:46 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 3 | 0 |
 Brandon BiroBUF | 17 | 10:13 | 0:36 | 1:26 | 0 | 3 |
 Tyson JostBUF | 14 | 8:24 | 0:36 | 1:16 | 0 | 6 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 7 | 4:30 | 0:39 | 1:27 | 1 | 0 |