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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 3, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Nashville Predators 2, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 53% of the time.

BUF winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Nyquist–O'Reilly–ForsbergSissons–Trenin–SmithSherwood–Parssinen–EvangelistaJankowski–McCarron–TomasinoMcCarron–Trenin–SmithJankowski–McCarron–ParssinenMcDonagh–JosiLauzon–FabbroSchenn–StastneyFabbro–Stastney
Skinner–Tuch–Mittelstadt8:150.83–0.711:190.06–0.001:110.16–0.004:020.33–0.105:080.48–1.011:360.10–0.400:300.15–0.00
Cozens–Peterka–Benson0:400.18–0.005:200.73–0.101:590.05–0.121:150.00–0.003:340.63–0.004:040.29–0.152:120.15–0.07
Okposo–Krebs–Rosen1:170.00–0.002:420.03–0.030:440.00–0.001:170.04–0.121:270.00–0.002:300.00–0.00
Olofsson–Jost–Biro1:060.00–0.063:130.09–0.242:440.09–0.200:340.35–0.001:440.09–0.10
Olofsson–Biro–Rosen0:500.00–0.002:120.00–0.041:000.00–0.000:450.00–0.021:230.00–0.01
Okposo–Skinner–Mittelstadt2:300.00–0.212:030.00–0.190:300.00–0.00
Skinner–Mittelstadt–Peterka0:360.00–0.000:490.00–0.00
Okposo–Jost–Krebs0:470.00–0.090:300.00–0.00
Jokiharju–Dahlin3:520.40–0.072:520.71–0.020:430.00–0.000:490.00–0.090:360.01–0.003:190.43–0.074:100.59–0.112:470.11–0.02
Jokiharju–Power0:310.00–0.402:130.11–0.033:490.09–0.182:130.11–0.072:170.00–0.033:090.09–0.50
Samuelsson–Dahlin4:450.49–0.240:370.00–0.001:420.20–0.004:160.29–0.032:260.34–0.22
Clifton–Johnson0:350.01–0.022:410.00–0.053:130.00–0.150:460.00–0.182:440.01–0.121:040.00–0.213:450.00–0.08
Samuelsson–Power1:050.12–0.001:050.32–0.001:430.09–0.000:530.00–0.010:550.26–0.002:140.20–0.002:020.08–0.00
Dahlin–Johnson0:440.00–0.000:370.00–0.001:050.00–0.120:530.00–0.000:420.10–0.00
Johnson–Power0:410.00–0.000:410.00–0.080:580.03–0.000:340.00–0.08
Samuelsson–Johnson0:430.00–0.080:410.00–0.060:420.05–0.00
Clifton–Samuelsson0:460.00–0.000:410.00–0.031:050.00–0.00
Dahlin–Power0:440.00–0.17
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMittelstadt FSkinner FTuch FPeterka FCozens FBenson FKrebs FOkposo FRosen FJost FOlofsson FBiro FSamuelsson DDahlin DJokiharju DPower DClifton DJohnson DLuukkonen GForsberg FNyquist FO'Reilly FSmith FSissons FTrenin FParssinen FSherwood FEvangelista FTomasino FMcCarron FJankowski FMcDonagh DJosi DFabbro DLauzon DSchenn DStastney DSaros G
BUFNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF2827:450:592:3733
Roman JosiNSH2624:040:561:3642
Henri JokiharjuBUF2522:510:552:3443
Casey MittelstadtBUF2122:291:042:2235
Ryan McDonaghNSH2622:200:522:0452
Jeff SkinnerBUF2121:171:011:3334
Owen PowerBUF2721:060:471:4416
Mattias SamuelssonBUF2520:240:491:49010
Jeremy LauzonNSH2419:570:501:3713
Ryan O'ReillyNSH2118:450:541:3160
Dante FabbroNSH2218:440:511:1714
Gustav NyquistNSH2118:010:511:2861
Spencer StastneyNSH2217:290:481:2537
JJ PeterkaBUF2117:240:501:5031
Filip ForsbergNSH2116:450:481:2871
Dylan CozensBUF2016:230:492:0030
Colton SissonsNSH1916:230:521:3725
Alex TuchBUF1916:190:521:3215
Luke SchennNSH2015:520:481:1816
Ryan JohnsonBUF2115:230:441:1553
Zach BensonBUF2115:170:441:2921
Yakov TreninNSH1815:150:511:2314
Juuso ParssinenNSH2015:140:461:1061
Cole SmithNSH1815:100:511:1815
Kyle OkposoBUF2014:180:431:1855
Michael McCarronNSH2014:110:431:1015
Kiefer SherwoodNSH1813:430:461:2161
Connor CliftonBUF1712:590:461:2844
Mark JankowskiNSH1912:350:401:1614
Luke EvangelistaNSH1611:590:451:1261
Victor OlofssonBUF1411:360:501:1233
Philip TomasinoNSH1711:330:411:2024
Peyton KrebsBUF1811:290:381:1133
Brandon BiroBUF1510:560:441:1544
Isak RosenBUF1210:190:521:2634
Tyson JostBUF1410:030:431:0951