Tue, Dec 5, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Detroit Red Wings 5, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 73% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:19Shot by Veleno, saved by Comrie
- P1 0:25Shot by Raymond, saved by Comrie
- P1 1:10Shot by Benson, saved by Lyon
- P1 3:40Goal by Larkin (Raymond)+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin · DET Larkin, Walman, Veleno, Seider, Raymond
- P1 4:05Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Comrie
- P1 4:10Shot by Compher, saved by Comrie
- P1 8:12Shot by Perron, saved by Comrie
- P1 8:25Goal by Fabbri (Copp, Perron)+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Okposo, Jost, Jokiharju, Krebs, Power · DET Perron, Maatta, Gostisbehere, Copp, Fabbri
- P1 9:22Shot by Cozens, saved by Lyon
- P1 11:58Shot by Johnson, saved by Lyon
- P1 12:03Shot by Olofsson, saved by Lyon
- P1 12:05Shot by Rosen, saved by Lyon
- P1 12:09Gostisbehere: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Johnson, Clifton, Olofsson, Biro, Rosen · DET Maatta, Gostisbehere, Fischer, Sprong, Kostin
- P1 12:16Shot by Dahlin, saved by Lyon5v4
- P1 13:05Shot by Thompson, saved by Lyon5v4
- P1 14:01Shot by Benson, saved by Lyon5v4
- P1 14:23Shot by Rosen, saved by Lyon
- P1 14:40Shot by Rosen, saved by Lyon
- P1 14:46Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Lyon
- P1 17:23Raymond: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: BUF Okposo, Jost, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs · DET Larkin, Walman, Veleno, Seider, Raymond
- P1 17:54Dahlin: Holding (2 min)5v4
On ice: BUF Skinner, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Cozens · DET Copp, Compher, Walman, Seider
- P1 19:36Shot by Raymond, saved by Comrie4v5
- P1 19:51Shot by Seider, saved by Comrie4v5
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 2:47Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Comrie
- P2 4:00Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Lyon
- P2 4:29Skinner: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: BUF Skinner, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Samuelsson · DET Petry, Chiarot, Larkin, Veleno, Raymond
- P2 5:43Goal by Seider (Fabbri, DeBrincat)4v5+9 pts WP
On ice: BUF Johnson, Jost, Samuelsson, Krebs · DET Fabbri, Sprong, DeBrincat, Veleno, Seider
- P2 6:17Shot by Benson, saved by Lyon
- P2 10:08Shot by Dahlin, saved by Lyon
- P2 10:28Shot by Larkin, saved by Comrie
- P2 10:32Peterka: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Jost, Jokiharju, Cozens, Peterka, Power · DET Larkin, Walman, DeBrincat, Veleno, Raymond
- P2 10:46Shot by Seider, saved by Comrie4v5
- P2 10:51Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Comrie4v5
- P2 12:02Shot by Compher, saved by Comrie4v5
- P2 12:03Shot by Compher, saved by Comrie4v5
- P2 13:55Goal by Rasmussen (Petry, Gostisbehere)+4 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Clifton, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Benson · DET Petry, Gostisbehere, Sprong, DeBrincat, Rasmussen
- P2 14:13Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Comrie
- P2 15:22Shot by Johnson, saved by Lyon
- P2 16:28Shot by Power, saved by Lyon
- P2 17:17Shot by Sprong, saved by Comrie
- P2 17:34Shot by Petry, saved by Comrie
- P2 18:52Copp: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Johnson, Clifton, Olofsson, Biro, Rosen · DET Perron, Maatta, Gostisbehere, Copp, Fabbri
- P2 18:57Goal by Dahlin (Thompson, Cozens)5v4+3 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Cozens · DET Compher, Walman, Rasmussen, Seider
- P2 19:12Shot by Skinner, saved by Lyon
- P2 19:28Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Comrie
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:31Shot by Larkin, saved by Comrie
- P3 0:41Mittelstadt: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Skinner, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin · DET Larkin, Walman, Veleno, Seider, Raymond
- P3 1:51Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Comrie4v5
- P3 2:27Shot by Compher, saved by Comrie4v5
- P3 2:50Shot by Johnson, saved by Lyon
- P3 3:17Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Comrie
- P3 3:30Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Lyon
- P3 5:04Shot by Dahlin, saved by Lyon
- P3 6:26Shot by Rosen, saved by Lyon
- P3 8:20Goal by Mittelstadt (Skinner, Peterka)+5 pts WP
On ice: BUF Johnson, Skinner, Clifton, Mittelstadt, Peterka · DET Chiarot, Maatta, Sprong, Veleno, Raymond
- P3 8:45Shot by Fabbri, saved by Comrie
- P3 8:54Shot by Krebs, saved by Lyon
- P3 9:21Shot by Rosen, saved by Lyon
- P3 10:47Chiarot: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Skinner, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Peterka, Power · DET Petry, Perron, Chiarot, Copp, Kostin
- P3 11:14Shot by Thompson, saved by Lyon5v4
- P3 11:37Goal by Skinner, unassisted5v4+13 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Cozens · DET Larkin, Walman, Rasmussen, Seider
- P3 13:10Shot by Skinner, saved by Lyon
- P3 13:13Shot by Skinner, saved by Lyon
- P3 13:20Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Lyon
- P3 17:09Shot by Thompson, saved by Lyon
- P3 18:09Walman: High sticking (2 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Skinner, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Peterka, Power · DET Compher, Walman, DeBrincat, Rasmussen, Seider
- P3 18:46Shot by Thompson, saved by Lyon6v4
- P3 19:14Goal by Larkin (Rasmussen)6v4+6 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Cozens, Peterka · DET Chiarot, Larkin, Rasmussen, Seider
- P3 0:00Period end6v4
- P3 0:00Final6v4