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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 5, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Detroit Red Wings 5, Buffalo Sabres 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 73% of the time.

BUF winsDET wins

Detroit Red Wings

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Moritz SeiderD · #53101+2322:360.1574.5%+9.1
Ben ChiarotD · #80000021:110.0031.7%0.0
Jeff PetryD · #46011+1120:240.0254.3%+3.8
J.T. CompherLW · #370000420:030.5133.5%0.0
Shayne GostisbehereD · #41011+2118:530.0050.5%+3.8
Lucas RaymondLW · #230110218:020.3248.5%+14.9
Jake WalmanD · #96000+1017:500.0060.1%0.0
Alex DeBrincatRW · #93011+1417:210.2342.7%+9.1
Dylan LarkinC · #71202+2416:301.0163.3%+21.0
Joseph VelenoC · #900000116:070.0259.8%0.0
Andrew CoppC · #18011+1015:560.0052.5%+14.6
Michael RasmussenC · #27112+2315:150.4043.7%+10.0
Olli MaattaD · #20000014:030.0047.8%0.0
David PerronLW · #57011+1113:340.0648.8%+14.6
Robby FabbriC · #14112+1212:300.2871.2%+23.7
Daniel SprongRW · #170000112:080.3567.4%0.0
Klim KostinC · #240000010:450.1264.5%0.0
Christian FischerRW · #360000010:060.0058.6%0.0
Alex Lyon#34W32293.9062.15−0.860:00

Buffalo Sabres

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Rasmus DahlinD · #26101−3425:220.0534.3%+2.9
Mattias SamuelssonD · #23000−1121:420.0133.0%0.0
Owen PowerD · #25000−1121:120.1652.1%0.0
Henri JokiharjuD · #10000−1120:150.0350.1%0.0
Casey MittelstadtC · #37101−2319:460.1534.7%+4.8
Tage ThompsonC · #72011−2418:410.1624.0%+2.9
Jeff SkinnerLW · #53112−2417:500.2634.4%+18.0
JJ PeterkaRW · #770110017:470.1751.9%+4.8
Dylan CozensC · #24011−1117:280.1541.3%+2.9
Peyton KrebsC · #19000−1116:370.0141.3%0.0
Tyson JostC · #17000−1016:120.1237.9%0.0
Kyle OkposoRW · #21000−1015:510.0325.6%0.0
Zach BensonLW · #9000−1315:400.3939.9%0.0
Connor CliftonD · #750000013:490.0053.3%0.0
Erik JohnsonD · #6000+1312:390.0867.8%0.0
Victor OlofssonLW · #71000018:390.01100.0%0.0
Isak RosenRW · #63000057:540.40100.0%0.0
Brandon BiroLW · #15000007:040.00100.0%0.0
Eric Comrie#31L26224.8462.85−1.158:18