Tue, Dec 5, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Detroit Red Wings 5, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 73% of the time.
19%
8%
65%
BUF winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 22:36 | 0.15 | 74.5% | +9.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:11 | 0.00 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:24 | 0.02 | 54.3% | +3.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:03 | 0.51 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:53 | 0.00 | 50.5% | +3.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:02 | 0.32 | 48.5% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:50 | 0.00 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:21 | 0.23 | 42.7% | +9.1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 16:30 | 1.01 | 63.3% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:07 | 0.02 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:56 | 0.00 | 52.5% | +14.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0.40 | 43.7% | +10.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:03 | 0.00 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:34 | 0.06 | 48.8% | +14.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 12:30 | 0.28 | 71.2% | +23.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:08 | 0.35 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:45 | 0.12 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:06 | 0.00 | 58.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 2.15 | −0.8 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 4 | 25:22 | 0.05 | 34.3% | +2.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:42 | 0.01 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:12 | 0.16 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:15 | 0.03 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 19:46 | 0.15 | 34.7% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 18:41 | 0.16 | 24.0% | +2.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 4 | 17:50 | 0.26 | 34.4% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:47 | 0.17 | 51.9% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:28 | 0.15 | 41.3% | +2.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.01 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:12 | 0.12 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:51 | 0.03 | 25.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:40 | 0.39 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:49 | 0.00 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 12:39 | 0.08 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:39 | 0.01 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:54 | 0.40 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:04 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 2.85 | −1.1 | 58:18 |