Tue, Dec 5, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Detroit Red Wings 5, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 73% of the time.
19%
8%
65%
BUF winsDET wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Larkin–Veleno–Raymond | Compher–DeBrincat–Rasmussen | Perron–Copp–Fabbri | Fischer–Sprong–Kostin | Compher–Fabbri–Kostin | Compher–DeBrincat–Raymond | Petry–Chiarot | Walman–Seider | Maatta–Gostisbehere | Petry–Gostisbehere | Chiarot–Seider | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Okposo–Jost–Krebs | 2:580.00–0.00 | 1:430.00–0.10 | 1:540.00–0.26 | 1:050.12–0.00 | 3:270.12–0.02 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 4:480.01–0.43 | 1:060.03–0.00 | |||
| Skinner–Thompson–Mittelstadt | 4:100.01–0.54 | 2:260.16–0.06 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:490.02–0.06 | 5:110.16–0.54 | ||||||
| Cozens–Peterka–Benson | 0:550.17–0.00 | 2:490.16–0.02 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:380.00–0.46 | 2:200.11–0.10 | 1:500.07–0.12 | 1:400.06–0.02 | ||||
| Olofsson–Biro–Rosen | 1:340.06–0.00 | 2:250.10–0.00 | 1:470.03–0.00 | 0:300.01–0.00 | 3:260.33–0.00 | ||||||
| Thompson–Cozens–Benson | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:390.02–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:420.02–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.00 | |||||
| Skinner–Mittelstadt–Peterka | 0:560.00–0.00 | 1:430.09–0.00 | |||||||||
| Thompson–Cozens–Peterka | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Power | 2:170.05–0.07 | 5:070.27–0.10 | 2:040.02–0.26 | 1:360.00–0.12 | 6:260.21–0.00 | 2:450.16–0.19 | 3:420.18–0.36 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | ||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 4:550.01–0.54 | 1:480.05–0.06 | 1:500.01–0.00 | 2:050.12–0.25 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:590.03–0.00 | 4:550.28–0.06 | 6:380.14–0.54 | 1:050.00–0.00 | ||
| Johnson–Clifton | 1:010.15–0.00 | 1:280.00–0.02 | 1:250.06–0.00 | 1:200.10–0.10 | 1:170.00–0.12 | 0:510.01–0.00 | 3:530.15–0.09 | ||||
| Jokiharju–Dahlin | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:060.06–0.12 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:370.06–0.00 | |||||||
| Clifton–Dahlin | 0:360.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 30 | 25:22 | 0:51 | 2:04 | 8 | 1 |
 Moritz SeiderDET | 29 | 22:36 | 0:47 | 1:54 | 3 | 8 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 27 | 21:42 | 0:48 | 1:45 | 5 | 3 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 27 | 21:12 | 0:47 | 1:42 | 3 | 5 |
 Ben ChiarotDET | 28 | 21:11 | 0:45 | 1:14 | 1 | 3 |
 Jeff PetryDET | 26 | 20:24 | 0:47 | 1:39 | 0 | 3 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 26 | 20:15 | 0:47 | 1:30 | 3 | 4 |
 J.T. CompherDET | 22 | 20:03 | 0:55 | 2:09 | 1 | 5 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 24 | 19:46 | 0:49 | 1:27 | 4 | 0 |
 Shayne GostisbehereDET | 23 | 18:53 | 0:49 | 2:30 | 3 | 2 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 22 | 18:41 | 0:51 | 1:15 | 8 | 0 |
 Lucas RaymondDET | 22 | 18:02 | 0:49 | 2:10 | 2 | 5 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 21 | 17:50 | 0:51 | 1:32 | 4 | 0 |
 Jake WalmanDET | 26 | 17:50 | 0:41 | 1:03 | 2 | 8 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 22 | 17:47 | 0:49 | 1:28 | 2 | 2 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 22 | 17:28 | 0:48 | 1:26 | 10 | 1 |
 Alex DeBrincatDET | 21 | 17:21 | 0:50 | 1:14 | 2 | 1 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 19 | 16:37 | 0:52 | 1:21 | 5 | 4 |
 Dylan LarkinDET | 21 | 16:30 | 0:47 | 1:28 | 2 | 7 |
 Tyson JostBUF | 19 | 16:12 | 0:51 | 1:21 | 5 | 4 |
 Joseph VelenoDET | 19 | 16:07 | 0:51 | 1:56 | 1 | 4 |
 Andrew CoppDET | 22 | 15:56 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 1 | 6 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 18 | 15:51 | 0:53 | 1:30 | 4 | 2 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 20 | 15:40 | 0:47 | 1:33 | 4 | 1 |
 Michael RasmussenDET | 19 | 15:15 | 0:48 | 1:42 | 1 | 3 |
 Olli MaattaDET | 17 | 14:03 | 0:50 | 1:37 | 3 | 2 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 17 | 13:49 | 0:49 | 1:33 | 3 | 0 |
 David PerronDET | 18 | 13:34 | 0:45 | 1:28 | 3 | 2 |
 Erik JohnsonBUF | 18 | 12:39 | 0:42 | 1:14 | 2 | 4 |
 Robby FabbriDET | 17 | 12:30 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 3 | 4 |
 Daniel SprongDET | 17 | 12:08 | 0:43 | 1:14 | 3 | 0 |
 Klim KostinDET | 14 | 10:45 | 0:46 | 1:08 | 2 | 2 |
 Christian FischerDET | 16 | 10:06 | 0:38 | 1:15 | 2 | 1 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 13 | 8:39 | 0:40 | 1:01 | 1 | 1 |
 Isak RosenBUF | 12 | 7:54 | 0:40 | 0:59 | 2 | 1 |
 Brandon BiroBUF | 11 | 7:04 | 0:39 | 0:54 | 1 | 1 |