Thu, Dec 7, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Ottawa Senators 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 64% of the time.
55%
10%
28%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 25:08 | 0.00 | 43.3% | +37.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 23:10 | 0.19 | 40.7% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 22:40 | 0.00 | 51.9% | +32.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:13 | 0.66 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:03 | 0.19 | 34.6% | +19.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:34 | 0.12 | 48.7% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:29 | 0.00 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 18:10 | 0.00 | 39.9% | +23.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:07 | 0.00 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:06 | 0.00 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:44 | 0.16 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:29 | 0.18 | 52.3% | +16.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:16 | 0.43 | 46.0% | +23.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:50 | 0.19 | 62.1% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:18 | 0.10 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:28 | 0.00 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:16 | 0.09 | 99.9% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:08 | 0.01 | 18.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 10 | 9 | 1 | .900 | 0.96 | 0.0 | 9:38 | |
| – | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 2.12 | +0.1 | 50:22 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 23:22 | 0.34 | 73.7% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:19 | 0.00 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 22:04 | 0.06 | 49.3% | +5.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:22 | 0.06 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:06 | 0.18 | 79.7% | +16.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:10 | 0.10 | 50.5% | +5.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 19:02 | 0.15 | 56.6% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:46 | 0.52 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:37 | 0.43 | 75.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:20 | 0.52 | 53.1% | +18.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.01 | 39.6% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 15:59 | 0.46 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:26 | 0.00 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:17 | 0.12 | 19.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:08 | 0.00 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:07 | 0.00 | 83.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:30 | 0.13 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:34 | 0.00 | 99.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 18 | 4 | .818 | 2.32 | −1.7 | 58:42 |