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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 7, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Ottawa Senators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 64% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Nylander–Matthews–KniesTavares–Bertuzzi–MarnerJarnkrok–Domi–RobertsonJarnkrok–Gregor–KampfReaves–Gregor–KampfReaves–Domi–RobertsonBrodie–RiellyMcCabe–BenoitMcCabe–TimminsLajoie–TimminsRielly–BenoitBrodie–McCabeLajoie–BenoitRielly–Timmins
Tarasenko–Batherson–Stützle3:150.26–0.005:410.29–0.000:560.00–0.002:360.35–0.251:010.12–0.017:190.39–0.012:250.48–0.002:000.06–0.251:560.14–0.001:120.08–0.000:370.00–0.00
Giroux–Norris–Tkachuk6:320.09–0.342:330.29–0.000:320.00–0.000:340.00–0.001:060.00–0.012:520.12–0.265:550.41–0.242:170.07–0.040:410.00–0.010:550.00–0.00
Kubalik–Joseph–Greig1:510.06–0.403:330.15–0.273:160.00–0.292:040.02–0.022:000.00–0.041:190.06–0.002:290.00–0.463:100.17–0.320:430.00–0.040:510.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Chartier–MacEwen–Kelly1:190.10–0.001:030.00–0.001:300.00–0.000:300.10–0.00
Brannstrom–Zub1:300.30–0.0410:410.72–0.270:410.00–0.001:040.00–0.250:560.01–0.001:350.00–0.017:560.15–0.043:150.43–0.004:140.17–0.521:130.17–0.010:590.18–0.00
Bernard-Docker–Sanderson9:010.10–0.621:160.00–0.000:440.00–0.000:550.12–0.003:330.12–0.305:210.10–0.002:040.07–0.041:270.03–0.320:390.00–0.001:150.08–0.000:390.00–0.00
Hamonic–Chychrun2:110.12–0.040:410.00–0.003:360.00–0.214:140.37–0.031:120.10–0.040:330.00–0.002:570.01–0.032:120.44–0.241:260.00–0.183:290.14–0.000:320.00–0.041:030.00–0.001:060.00–0.00
Chychrun–Sanderson0:380.19–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTkachuk FNorris FGiroux FStützle FTarasenko FBatherson FJoseph FGreig FKubalik FChartier FMacEwen FKelly FBernard-Docker DSanderson DZub DBrannstrom DChychrun DHamonic DForsberg GKnies FMatthews FNylander FTavares FMarner FBertuzzi FGregor FJarnkrok FKampf FDomi FReaves FRobertson FBenoit DMcCabe DRielly DBrodie DTimmins DLajoie DWoll GJones G
OTTTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jake McCabeTOR3325:080:461:3413
Tim StützleOTT2523:220:561:4961
Morgan RiellyTOR3223:100:431:1438
TJ BrodieTOR3222:400:431:2419
Artem ZubOTT2722:190:501:3623
Jake SandersonOTT2422:040:551:4721
Erik BrannstromOTT2620:220:471:4022
Auston MatthewsTOR2220:130:551:3912
Drake BathersonOTT2420:060:501:4161
Mitch MarnerTOR2520:030:481:3345
William NylanderTOR2219:340:531:3722
Claude GirouxOTT2819:100:411:1732
Jakob ChychrunOTT2319:020:501:3431
Brady TkachukOTT2618:460:431:1430
Vladimir TarasenkoOTT2318:370:491:4551
Conor TimminsTOR2618:290:431:0823
Josh NorrisOTT2618:200:421:2330
John TavaresTOR2018:100:552:1732
Jacob Bernard-DockerOTT2118:090:521:4920
Simon BenoitTOR2618:070:421:1003
Matthew KniesTOR2217:060:471:2712
Tyler BertuzziTOR2016:440:501:0823
Mathieu JosephOTT2015:590:481:4335
Travis HamonicOTT1815:260:511:2352
Dominik KubalikOTT2115:170:441:3934
Ridly GreigOTT2015:080:451:3434
Calle JarnkrokTOR2014:290:431:0804
David KampfTOR2013:160:401:1507
Max DomiTOR1611:500:441:1510
Noah GregorTOR1811:180:381:0706
Maxime LajoieTOR1510:280:421:0313
Nick RobertsonTOR149:160:400:5520
Ryan ReavesTOR127:080:360:5601
Parker KellyOTT117:070:390:5700
Rourke ChartierOTT115:300:300:3901
Zack MacEwenOTT84:340:340:5300