Thu, Dec 7, 2023·Capital One Arena, Washington
Dallas Stars 5, Washington Capitals 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 51% of the time.
39%
10%
44%
WSH winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 26:34 | 0.11 | 70.7% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 4 | 22:31 | 0.18 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:26 | 0.00 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 20:20 | 0.02 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:58 | 0.02 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:19 | 0.17 | 63.0% | +34.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:14 | 0.05 | 63.2% | +58.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:47 | 0.21 | 39.1% | +13.3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 17:28 | 0.52 | 58.0% | +58.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:05 | 0.18 | 39.4% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:39 | 0.41 | 81.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:33 | 0.10 | 40.2% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:01 | 0.03 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.33 | 23.9% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 13:57 | 0.30 | 79.3% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:47 | 0.10 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:30 | 0.13 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:45 | 0.03 | 27.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 2.77 | −1.2 | 65:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 27:37 | 0.20 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:02 | 0.03 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:57 | 0.56 | 63.6% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:06 | 0.05 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:55 | 0.17 | 54.2% | +19.9 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 18:55 | 0.48 | 65.8% | +47.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:31 | 0.02 | 59.0% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:49 | 0.24 | 55.7% | +27.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:29 | 0.12 | 46.8% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:40 | 0.12 | 35.6% | +17.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 15:39 | 0.38 | 53.5% | +30.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:12 | 0.21 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:58 | 0.00 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:46 | 0.00 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.10 | 30.7% | +27.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:04 | 0.03 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:05 | 0.06 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:40 | 0.00 | 67.9% | +13.2 |
| O | 38 | 34 | 4 | .895 | 2.89 | −1.1 | 65:00 |