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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 7, 2023·Capital One Arena, Washington

Dallas Stars 5, Washington Capitals 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 51% of the time.

WSH winsDAL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DAL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Pavelski–Hintz–RobertsonDuchene–Seguin–MarchmentSmith–Faksa–SteelBenn–Dadonov–JohnstonSuter–HeiskanenHakanpää–LindellLundkvist–HarleyHeiskanen–HarleyHakanpää–HarleySuter–LundkvistLindell–HeiskanenHeiskanen–LundkvistSuter–Harley
Dowd–Aube-Kubel–Malenstyn4:400.09–0.323:170.06–0.220:410.00–0.002:250.00–0.164:370.00–0.331:070.00–0.091:130.09–0.002:450.06–0.230:470.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Ovechkin–Wilson–Strome3:130.09–0.053:130.29–0.081:410.16–0.002:070.09–0.053:380.09–0.043:170.35–0.031:520.09–0.100:500.14–0.030:470.00–0.010:540.00–0.04
Mantha–McMichael–Protas2:320.00–0.212:390.05–0.001:480.00–0.072:140.01–0.122:380.00–0.212:420.01–0.052:410.10–0.131:010.05–0.020:340.00–0.00
Kuznetsov–Phillips–Lapierre1:100.00–0.060:450.00–0.004:410.06–0.111:350.00–0.002:060.00–0.082:510.00–0.013:220.09–0.080:570.00–0.00
Kuznetsov–Wilson–Lapierre0:500.00–0.001:140.00–0.001:040.00–0.00
Carlson–Fehérváry5:090.14–0.216:420.29–0.163:160.12–0.086:460.15–0.311:300.00–0.014:040.21–0.072:000.26–0.230:520.00–0.000:520.00–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Sandin5:450.31–0.372:520.15–0.133:350.07–0.032:120.10–0.055:340.10–0.323:430.43–0.123:180.09–0.120:350.00–0.051:050.07–0.020:410.00–0.040:530.00–0.00
Jensen–Edmundson1:370.00–0.061:280.07–0.002:140.22–0.036:280.00–0.472:080.00–0.125:150.23–0.012:470.06–0.201:260.00–0.230:460.00–0.00
Jensen–Sandin1:030.00–0.271:070.03–0.27
Carlson–Edmundson0:430.00–0.001:020.03–0.00
Carlson–Sandin0:560.01–0.100:330.00–0.01
van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndOvechkin FStrome FWilson FDowd FAube-Kubel FMalenstyn FPhillips FKuznetsov FLapierre FMantha FProtas FMcMichael FFehérváry DCarlson DSandin Dvan Riemsdyk DJensen DEdmundson DLindgren GMarchment FSeguin FDuchene FPavelski FHintz FRobertson FJohnston FDadonov FBenn FSmith FSteel FFaksa FHakanpää DLindell DHeiskanen DSuter DLundkvist DHarley DWedgewood G
WSHDALFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

John CarlsonWSH3327:370:501:3934
Miro HeiskanenDAL2626:341:011:5170
Rasmus SandinWSH2523:020:551:2424
Thomas HarleyDAL2522:310:541:5873
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH2620:570:481:2312
Jani HakanpääDAL2420:260:511:5716
Esa LindellDAL2320:200:531:5415
Martin FehérváryWSH2720:060:451:2107
Ryan SuterDAL2219:580:541:5122
Tom WilsonWSH2619:550:461:1775
Dylan StromeWSH2218:550:521:4063
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH2318:310:481:2514
Joe PavelskiDAL2318:190:481:2272
Jason RobertsonDAL2318:140:481:3672
Alex OvechkinWSH2117:490:511:4483
Matt DucheneDAL2217:470:491:5461
Nick JensenWSH2317:290:461:1613
Roope HintzDAL2617:280:401:0992
Tyler SeguinDAL2417:050:431:5862
Connor McMichaelWSH2416:400:421:0953
Aliaksei ProtasWSH2215:390:431:1551
Wyatt JohnstonDAL1915:390:491:1643
Mason MarchmentDAL2015:330:471:4361
Nic DowdWSH2215:120:411:4309
Nils LundkvistDAL1815:010:501:3322
Joel EdmundsonWSH2014:580:451:4702
Sam SteelDAL1914:510:471:2802
Beck MalenstynWSH2214:460:401:3509
Anthony ManthaWSH1914:200:451:2641
Hendrix LapierreWSH1714:040:501:2600
Jamie BennDAL1913:570:441:2154
Radek FaksaDAL1813:470:461:2103
Nicolas Aube-KubelWSH1913:050:411:4208
Evgenii DadonovDAL1512:300:501:2633
Craig SmithDAL1711:450:411:0501
Matthew PhillipsWSH1611:400:441:1200