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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 11, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Arizona Coyotes 2, Buffalo Sabres 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 93% of the time.

BUF winsARI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:22Shot by Robinson, saved by Vejmelka
  3. P1 2:23Shot by Robinson, saved by Vejmelka
  4. P1 2:25Goal by Okposo (Robinson, Clifton)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Clifton, Jokiharju, Robinson, Krebs · ARI Brown, Stecher, Maccelli, Cooley, Kelemen

  5. P1 2:45Shot by Thompson, saved by Vejmelka
  6. P1 4:19Shot by Cozens, saved by Vejmelka
  7. P1 4:23Benson: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Jokiharju, Dahlin, Cozens, Peterka, Benson · ARI Zucker, Schmaltz, Keller, Stecher, Välimäki

  8. P1 4:49Shot by Maccelli, saved by Levi4v5
  9. P1 6:10Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Levi4v5
  10. P1 7:52Shot by Peterka, saved by Vejmelka
  11. P1 8:55Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Levi
  12. P1 9:47Mittelstadt: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Dahlin · ARI Bjugstad, Dumba, Crouse, Välimäki, Maccelli

  13. P1 11:50Shot by Krebs, saved by Vejmelka
  14. P1 11:59Shot by Cozens, saved by Vejmelka
  15. P1 12:41Shot by Cozens, saved by Vejmelka
  16. P1 13:46Shot by Dermott, saved by Levi
  17. P1 16:05Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Levi
  18. P1 17:48Shot by Power, saved by Vejmelka
  19. P1 17:50Shot by Johnson, saved by Vejmelka
  20. P1 18:29Shot by Thompson, saved by Vejmelka
  21. P1 19:53Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vejmelka
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:33Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Levi
  25. P2 1:16Shot by Thompson, saved by Vejmelka
  26. P2 2:05Shot by Maccelli, saved by Levi
  27. P2 3:01Goal by Kesselring (Cooley, Kelemen)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Jost, Murray, Jokiharju, Dahlin · ARI Dumba, O'Brien, Kesselring, Cooley, Kelemen

  28. P2 3:17Shot by Crouse, saved by Levi
  29. P2 3:52Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Levi
  30. P2 4:13Shot by Cozens, saved by Vejmelka
  31. P2 4:18Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vejmelka
  32. P2 5:05Shot by Stecher, saved by Levi
  33. P2 6:11Shot by Okposo, saved by Vejmelka
  34. P2 6:12Shot by Robinson, saved by Vejmelka
  35. P2 6:14Goal by Robinson (Okposo, Clifton)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Johnson, Okposo, Clifton, Robinson, Krebs · ARI O'Brien, Välimäki, Kesselring, Cooley, Kelemen

  36. P2 7:09Shot by Crouse, saved by Levi
  37. P2 8:05Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vejmelka
  38. P2 9:59Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Vejmelka
  39. P2 10:52Goal by Krebs (Okposo, Robinson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Jokiharju, Robinson, Krebs, Power · ARI Bjugstad, Dermott, Crouse, Stecher, Carcone

  40. P2 10:56Shot by Clifton, saved by Vejmelka
  41. P2 11:45Shot by Välimäki, saved by Levi
  42. P2 12:52Shot by Murray, saved by Vejmelka
  43. P2 13:11Shot by Olofsson, saved by Vejmelka
  44. P2 15:03Shot by Peterka, saved by Vejmelka
  45. P2 15:06Goal by Peterka (Skinner, Dahlin)+6 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Peterka · ARI Kerfoot, Brown, Dermott, Keller, Carcone

  46. P2 15:32Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Levi
  47. P2 15:36Shot by Crouse, saved by Levi
  48. P2 17:18Shot by Jost, saved by Vejmelka
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:31Shot by Maccelli, saved by Levi
  52. P3 0:49Shot by Robinson, saved by Vejmelka
  53. P3 3:28Shot by Cooley, saved by Levi
  54. P3 4:12Shot by Moser, saved by Levi
  55. P3 7:04Shot by Jost, saved by Vejmelka
  56. P3 8:00Shot by Maccelli, saved by Levi
  57. P3 8:31Shot by Zucker, saved by Levi
  58. P3 9:01Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Vejmelka
  59. P3 9:10Shot by Kesselring, saved by Levi
  60. P3 10:03Shot by Jost, saved by Vejmelka
  61. P3 10:08Shot by Power, saved by Vejmelka
  62. P3 10:26Shot by Cozens, saved by Vejmelka
  63. P3 10:43Thompson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Cozens, Johnson, Power, Benson · ARI Kerfoot, Brown, Dermott, Carcone, Cooley

  64. P3 11:14Keller: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Johnson, Clifton, Jost, Krebs · ARI Dumba, Kerfoot, Schmaltz, Keller, Cooley

  65. P3 12:47Goal by Carcone (Maccelli, Moser)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Thompson, Jokiharju, Cozens, Johnson · ARI Carcone, Välimäki, Maccelli, Moser

  66. P3 16:06Cooley: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Cozens, Benson · ARI Zucker, Kerfoot, Dermott, Kesselring, Cooley

  67. P3 16:22Shot by Skinner, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  68. P3 16:37Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Levi5v4
  69. P3 16:51Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  70. P3 18:55Goal by Dahlin, unassisted5v60 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Johnson, Robinson, Dahlin, Krebs, Benson · ARI Zucker, Kerfoot, Keller, Välimäki, Maccelli, Cooley

  71. P3 19:53Shot by Peterka, saved by Vejmelka
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final