Mon, Dec 11, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Arizona Coyotes 2, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 93% of the time.
90%
BUF winsARI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against ARI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Zucker–Schmaltz–Keller | Bjugstad–Crouse–Maccelli | O'Brien–Cooley–Kelemen | Kerfoot–Carcone–Cooley | Zucker–Kerfoot–Carcone | O'Brien–Carcone–Cooley | Kerfoot–Carcone–Maccelli | Kerfoot–Keller–Carcone | Dumba–Moser | Stecher–Välimäki | Brown–Dermott | Dermott–Kesselring | Brown–Stecher | Välimäki–Kesselring | Dermott–Välimäki | Stecher–Moser | Dumba–Välimäki | Stecher–Kesselring | Brown–Kesselring | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Okposo–Robinson–Krebs | 2:210.02–0.02 | 3:460.00–0.29 | 1:140.00–0.17 | 3:010.11–0.27 | 1:160.02–0.00 | 2:270.00–0.04 | 0:300.00–0.17 | 0:310.45–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Skinner–Mittelstadt–Peterka | 0:500.08–0.14 | 2:170.00–0.04 | 0:430.02–0.00 | 1:250.03–0.00 | 1:200.08–0.00 | 1:180.24–0.03 | 3:160.00–0.06 | 0:500.08–0.14 | 1:360.27–0.00 | 0:530.02–0.00 | 1:060.08–0.00 | ||||||||
| Thompson–Cozens–Benson | 4:400.13–0.17 | 1:270.16–0.03 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:450.28–0.00 | 1:310.16–0.02 | 3:080.16–0.08 | 0:510.17–0.00 | 1:110.11–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.05 | 0:360.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Olofsson–Jost–Murray | 1:190.23–0.00 | 3:210.00–0.10 | 2:010.00–0.05 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 2:090.07–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.03 | 0:460.00–0.03 | 0:510.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Skinner–Thompson–Mittelstadt | 2:520.03–0.06 | 2:560.03–0.06 | |||||||||||||||||
| Cozens–Peterka–Benson | 1:300.05–0.00 | 1:490.05–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Dahlin | 8:090.13–0.31 | 1:450.29–0.08 | 1:510.00–0.10 | 1:100.11–0.00 | 0:420.08–0.00 | 1:150.24–0.03 | 3:020.29–0.11 | 5:350.09–0.21 | 1:180.24–0.00 | 0:410.11–0.00 | 1:110.08–0.05 | 1:130.00–0.05 | 0:450.04–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.03 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||
| Johnson–Power | 3:150.06–0.02 | 4:520.03–0.14 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 2:430.17–0.05 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 5:490.14–0.11 | 2:300.02–0.00 | 2:250.17–0.04 | 1:250.00–0.03 | 0:470.00–0.02 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Johnson–Clifton | 3:420.07–0.21 | 3:250.47–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.09 | 4:010.07–0.20 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 3:120.02–0.09 | 0:380.24–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Clifton–Power | 0:400.07–0.01 | 0:300.00–0.17 | 0:300.07–0.00 | 0:340.03–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Power | 0:520.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Dahlin–Power | 0:320.23–0.00 | 0:310.11–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFARIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 28 | 23:10 | 0:50 | 2:11 | 4 | 4 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 24 | 22:30 | 0:56 | 1:36 | 2 | 0 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 28 | 21:55 | 0:47 | 1:33 | 3 | 4 |
 Mathew DumbaARI | 21 | 21:31 | 1:01 | 2:16 | 2 | 4 |
 Clayton KellerARI | 21 | 20:54 | 1:00 | 1:41 | 6 | 3 |
 J.J. MoserARI | 22 | 20:42 | 0:56 | 1:43 | 1 | 6 |
 Jason ZuckerARI | 22 | 20:28 | 0:56 | 1:54 | 4 | 2 |
 Matias MaccelliARI | 24 | 19:56 | 0:50 | 1:19 | 2 | 3 |
 Juuso VälimäkiARI | 20 | 19:32 | 0:59 | 1:54 | 3 | 2 |
 Nick SchmaltzARI | 19 | 19:06 | 1:00 | 1:49 | 6 | 3 |
 Logan CooleyARI | 20 | 18:35 | 0:56 | 1:40 | 2 | 4 |
 Ryan JohnsonBUF | 19 | 17:50 | 0:56 | 1:33 | 3 | 0 |
 Troy StecherARI | 21 | 17:49 | 0:51 | 1:34 | 2 | 4 |
 Nick BjugstadARI | 21 | 17:44 | 0:51 | 1:14 | 2 | 4 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 19 | 17:36 | 0:56 | 1:51 | 5 | 2 |
 Lawson CrouseARI | 22 | 17:36 | 0:48 | 1:10 | 2 | 5 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 19 | 17:32 | 0:55 | 1:43 | 5 | 1 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 21 | 17:11 | 0:49 | 1:36 | 4 | 6 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 20 | 16:44 | 0:50 | 1:36 | 1 | 1 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 18 | 16:42 | 0:56 | 1:41 | 7 | 2 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 18 | 16:07 | 0:54 | 1:34 | 4 | 1 |
 Erik JohnsonBUF | 20 | 15:48 | 0:47 | 1:49 | 4 | 6 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 20 | 14:50 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 0 | 5 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 20 | 14:45 | 0:44 | 1:59 | 6 | 2 |
 Alexander KerfootARI | 17 | 14:45 | 0:52 | 1:40 | 1 | 3 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 18 | 13:20 | 0:44 | 1:43 | 0 | 3 |
 Eric RobinsonBUF | 20 | 12:54 | 0:39 | 1:04 | 0 | 2 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 17 | 12:29 | 0:44 | 1:23 | 4 | 0 |
 Travis DermottARI | 19 | 12:29 | 0:39 | 1:07 | 1 | 3 |
 Michael CarconeARI | 16 | 12:15 | 0:46 | 1:52 | 0 | 2 |
 Joshua BrownARI | 17 | 12:03 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 0 | 2 |
 Tyson JostBUF | 18 | 11:50 | 0:39 | 1:14 | 3 | 3 |
 Liam O'BrienARI | 15 | 11:27 | 0:46 | 1:08 | 2 | 3 |
 Michael KesselringARI | 19 | 11:07 | 0:35 | 1:12 | 3 | 2 |
 Brett MurrayBUF | 15 | 10:47 | 0:43 | 1:39 | 4 | 0 |
 Milos KelemenARI | 11 | 8:22 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 1 | 3 |