Mon, Dec 11, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Arizona Coyotes 2, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 93% of the time.
90%
BUF winsARI wins
Arizona Coyotes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:31 | 0.00 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:54 | 0.05 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:42 | 0.02 | 35.0% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:28 | 0.21 | 29.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 19:56 | 0.29 | 34.7% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:32 | 0.01 | 21.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:06 | 0.10 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.06 | 9.5% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:49 | 0.05 | 24.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:44 | 0.10 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:36 | 0.21 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:45 | 0.10 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:29 | 0.03 | 26.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 12:15 | 0.33 | 27.3% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:03 | 0.00 | 8.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:27 | 0.00 | 16.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:07 | 0.08 | 41.4% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 8:22 | 0.00 | 8.9% | +19.6 |
| L | 37 | 33 | 4 | .892 | 3.48 | −0.5 | 59:39 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 23:10 | 0.76 | 69.8% | +6.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:30 | 0.05 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:55 | 0.00 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:50 | 0.02 | 75.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 17:36 | 0.46 | 84.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:32 | 0.21 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 17:11 | 0.00 | 71.7% | +36.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:44 | 0.32 | 78.3% | +6.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:42 | 0.30 | 74.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:07 | 0.18 | 65.4% | +6.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:48 | 0.01 | 74.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 2 | 14:50 | 0.13 | 73.5% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:45 | 0.98 | 78.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 13:20 | 0.50 | 71.6% | +50.2 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 5 | 12:54 | 0.77 | 71.0% | +50.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:29 | 0.04 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 11:50 | 0.06 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:47 | 0.15 | 66.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 1.65 | −0.4 | 60:00 |