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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 31, 2023·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Boston Bruins 5, Detroit Red Wings 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 67% of the time.

DET winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Marchand–Coyle–DeBruskPastrnak–Zacha–GeekieHeinen–Frederic–MerkulovFrederic–Steen–LaukoSteen–Lauko–BeecherPastrnak–Zacha–LaukoHeinen–Frederic–GeekieLindholm–CarloMcAvoy–LohreiShattenkirk–WotherspoonWotherspoon–McAvoyShattenkirk–LohreiShattenkirk–McAvoyLindholm–Lohrei
Kane–Compher–DeBrincat1:320.00–0.031:180.00–0.003:250.10–0.231:480.13–0.006:250.13–0.210:560.00–0.000:560.00–0.030:350.00–0.020:530.10–0.00
Perron–Larkin–Raymond2:070.17–0.154:310.14–0.171:140.00–0.000:550.07–0.004:330.08–0.061:080.10–0.002:010.07–0.00
Copp–Fischer–Rasmussen4:390.00–0.111:220.00–0.121:070.00–0.001:060.00–0.002:510.01–0.191:070.00–0.120:420.00–0.03
Copp–Rasmussen–Veleno0:460.11–0.001:250.05–0.001:530.17–0.091:240.05–0.000:380.00–0.00
Fabbri–Sprong–Veleno0:370.01–0.000:430.00–0.001:330.10–0.001:110.01–0.001:170.10–0.000:330.00–0.00
Fabbri–Fischer–Sprong0:410.00–0.000:460.00–0.001:160.00–0.00
Petry–Chiarot5:300.18–0.224:120.06–0.131:100.00–0.020:540.00–0.043:240.17–0.003:320.06–0.022:480.01–0.132:210.07–0.002:000.00–0.12
Walman–Seider3:340.13–0.064:570.57–0.170:310.00–0.001:150.00–0.003:540.50–0.034:060.15–0.031:160.13–0.001:080.00–0.000:420.00–0.000:570.00–0.03
Maatta–Gostisbehere0:450.00–0.000:310.00–0.002:550.10–0.232:140.13–0.000:450.10–0.000:340.00–0.003:350.13–0.180:460.00–0.001:340.10–0.000:430.00–0.031:170.00–0.020:560.10–0.00
Chiarot–Maatta0:350.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndRaymond FPerron FLarkin FFischer FRasmussen FCopp FCompher FDeBrincat FKane FFabbri FSprong FVeleno FSeider DWalman DChiarot DPetry DMaatta DGostisbehere DLyon GZacha FGeekie FPastrnak FDeBrusk FCoyle FMarchand FFrederic FMerkulov FHeinen FBeecher FSteen FLauko FLohrei DMcAvoy DWotherspoon DShattenkirk DCarlo DLindholm DSwayman G
DETBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Charlie McAvoyBOS3024:080:481:4065
Hampus LindholmBOS2723:310:521:3728
J.T. CompherDET2121:241:012:0962
Moritz SeiderDET2920:500:431:3415
Brandon CarloBOS2420:290:511:3808
Dylan LarkinDET2320:030:521:4244
Alex DeBrincatDET1919:471:022:2060
David PastrnakBOS2119:460:562:3230
Brad MarchandBOS2319:420:511:2235
Patrick KaneDET2019:360:592:1860
Jeff PetryDET2619:350:451:2924
Ben ChiarotDET2419:210:481:5504
Charlie CoyleBOS2419:100:481:2345
Jake DeBruskBOS2419:100:481:2224
Shayne GostisbehereDET2118:360:531:3671
Parker WotherspoonBOS2418:250:462:0015
Pavel ZachaBOS2418:140:461:5333
Mason LohreiBOS2116:570:481:3230
Jake WalmanDET2516:510:401:5215
Morgan GeekieBOS1916:450:531:3021
Andrew CoppDET2116:010:461:1212
David PerronDET2315:550:421:2924
Trent FredericBOS2115:510:451:1224
Lucas RaymondDET2115:500:451:2704
Michael RasmussenDET2115:480:451:1511
Danton HeinenBOS1814:230:481:2534
Olli MaattaDET1713:550:491:1331
Kevin ShattenkirkBOS1813:470:462:0130
Daniel SprongDET1511:460:471:2911
Robby FabbriDET1411:150:481:1201
Christian FischerDET1611:100:421:0811
Joseph VelenoDET1410:290:451:0612
Georgii MerkulovBOS118:330:471:1832
Jakub LaukoBOS128:250:421:0720
Oskar SteenBOS117:450:421:0410
John BeecherBOS84:510:361:0012