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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 2, 2024·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Winnipeg Jets 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 77% of the time.

WPG winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WPG forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stamkos–Kucherov–CirelliPaul–Point–HagelWatson–Glendening–JeannotMotte–Sheary–EyssimontKucherov–Point–HagelStamkos–Kucherov–PointMotte–Sheary–Barré-BouletHedman–Perbixde Haan–PerbixRaddysh–MyersHedman–Myersde Haan–MyersHedman–Raddyshde Haan–RaddyshRaddysh–Perbix
Scheifele–Ehlers–Vilardi0:580.03–0.144:020.00–0.670:420.00–0.061:380.00–0.284:200.03–0.430:360.00–0.192:240.00–0.701:040.00–0.030:450.02–0.00
Niederreiter–Lowry–Appleton2:300.03–0.011:240.00–0.081:380.00–0.000:340.20–0.001:200.00–0.000:550.03–0.061:560.27–0.001:260.00–0.020:340.00–0.001:160.00–0.010:430.00–0.00
Namestnikov–Iafallo–Perfetti1:580.26–0.001:100.08–0.000:440.00–0.011:210.00–0.020:410.08–0.002:540.27–0.010:340.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:410.00–0.021:400.10–0.00
Toninato–Jonsson-Fjallby–Barron1:060.00–0.000:350.00–0.001:350.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:480.09–0.000:420.00–0.000:370.02–0.01
Scheifele–Iafallo–Perfetti0:440.00–0.000:450.00–0.231:460.00–0.230:330.00–0.00
Lowry–Appleton–Barron1:050.00–0.000:440.17–0.000:350.00–0.00
Namestnikov–Ehlers–Vilardi1:310.00–0.00
Toninato–Ehlers–Jonsson-Fjallby0:510.08–0.000:410.08–0.00
Scheifele–Jonsson-Fjallby–Barron0:430.08–0.110:430.08–0.11
Schmidt–Samberg1:580.00–0.083:020.00–0.131:480.00–0.150:400.00–0.000:380.20–0.001:380.00–0.152:190.00–0.113:010.27–0.001:240.00–0.021:490.00–0.080:590.00–0.001:400.00–0.001:060.16–0.00
Dillon–Pionk3:170.21–0.162:280.00–0.180:320.00–0.061:240.00–0.140:480.00–0.234:470.11–0.380:580.13–0.141:420.00–0.001:150.00–0.081:120.11–0.150:580.00–0.011:150.02–0.000:380.10–0.00
DeMelo–Morrissey4:190.27–0.112:350.08–0.651:390.00–0.130:380.00–0.003:590.15–0.243:100.30–0.050:340.01–0.001:290.00–0.621:030.34–0.001:280.00–0.030:320.00–0.00
DeMelo–Samberg0:350.00–0.050:550.02–0.05
Dillon–DeMelo0:430.17–0.00
Schmidt–Morrissey1:090.00–0.00
Morrissey–Pionk0:360.08–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndVilardi FEhlers FScheifele FPerfetti FNamestnikov FIafallo FLowry FAppleton FNiederreiter FToninato FBarron FJonsson-Fjallby FPionk DDillon DMorrissey DDeMelo DSamberg DSchmidt DHellebuyck GPaul FPoint FHagel FEyssimont FMotte FSheary FKucherov FStamkos FCirelli FGlendening FWatson FJeannot FBarré-Boulet FPerbix DHedman DRaddysh Dde Haan DMyers DVasilevskiy G
WPGTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2829:141:032:0762
Nick PerbixTBL3226:170:492:2323
Darren RaddyshTBL2622:300:521:3202
Mark ScheifeleWPG1921:451:092:0121
Calvin de HaanTBL2821:170:462:2504
Nikita KucherovTBL2321:000:551:4271
Josh MorrisseyWPG2520:320:491:4932
Neal PionkWPG2620:240:471:4034
Nate SchmidtWPG2419:580:502:0433
Brayden PointTBL2019:501:002:0960
Brenden DillonWPG2119:070:551:3223
Dylan SambergWPG2018:260:552:0313
Dylan DeMeloWPG2418:090:452:1033
Brandon HagelTBL2318:040:471:4222
Anthony CirelliTBL2117:520:511:4034
Alex IafalloWPG2217:490:491:3364
Philippe MyersTBL2217:350:481:4921
Gabriel VilardiWPG1717:141:011:5250
Steven StamkosTBL1916:540:531:4651
Nikolaj EhlersWPG1816:430:561:4950
Vladislav NamestnikovWPG1916:350:521:1542
Cole PerfettiWPG1716:250:581:3240
Nick PaulTBL1815:520:531:5360
Adam LowryWPG2015:100:461:1324
Nino NiederreiterWPG1814:460:491:1511
Tyler MotteTBL1613:260:501:1503
Mason AppletonWPG1712:520:451:2002
Luke GlendeningTBL1812:100:411:1515
Morgan BarronWPG1611:580:451:4222
Michael EyssimontTBL1711:000:390:5703
Tanner JeannotTBL1310:300:481:0121
Axel Jonsson-FjallbyWPG159:550:401:3212
Dominic ToninatoWPG159:100:371:1822
Conor ShearyTBL118:330:471:0402
Austin WatsonTBL86:320:491:2521
Alex Barré-BouletTBL86:310:491:0001