Thu, Jan 4, 2024·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Minnesota Wild 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 89% of the time.
84%
MIN winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 27:03 | 0.18 | 59.5% | +6.9 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 25:41 | 0.42 | 83.2% | +35.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:57 | 0.36 | 53.4% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:01 | 0.01 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:53 | 0.28 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 20:38 | 0.18 | 77.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:39 | 0.94 | 62.0% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:25 | 0.41 | 65.9% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:56 | 0.12 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:47 | 0.28 | 69.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:54 | 0.15 | 79.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:53 | 0.19 | 65.3% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:27 | 0.03 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:20 | 0.04 | 76.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:06 | 0.09 | 68.1% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:53 | 0.07 | 74.3% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:16 | 0.05 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:27 | 0.00 | 78.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 22 | 1 | .957 | 1.29 | +0.3 | 59:44 |
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 23:14 | 0.08 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:07 | 0.06 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 20:52 | 0.40 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:59 | 0.08 | 18.4% | +1.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:09 | 0.00 | 16.7% | +1.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:02 | 0.11 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:36 | 0.00 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:30 | 0.06 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:18 | 0.04 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:30 | 0.00 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:02 | 0.09 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:56 | 0.18 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:29 | 0.07 | 34.8% | +1.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:19 | 0.00 | 20.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:07 | 0.12 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:46 | 0.00 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:40 | 0.00 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:45 | 0.00 | 11.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 3.03 | 0.0 | 58:27 |