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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 6, 2024·TD Garden, Boston

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Boston Bruins 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 56% of the time.

BOS winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kucherov–Point–HagelStamkos–Paul–CirelliGlendening–Motte–JeannotMotte–Sheary–EyssimontSheary–Cirelli–EyssimontKucherov–Paul–PointStamkos–Kucherov–PaulGlendening–Sheary–EyssimontStamkos–Paul–HagelStamkos–Paul–PointGlendening–Motte–ShearyGlendening–Cirelli–HagelHedman–ThompsonPerbix–Lillebergde Haan–Raddyshde Haan–MyersHedman–PerbixRaddysh–LillebergHedman–Myersde Haan–ThompsonHedman–RaddyshRaddysh–Perbix
Pastrnak–Zacha–Geekie5:070.20–0.381:110.00–0.000:460.00–0.112:220.05–0.001:400.23–0.110:310.00–0.271:510.01–0.051:210.08–0.001:440.00–0.00
Marchand–Coyle–DeBrusk0:320.00–0.102:260.01–0.100:340.00–0.031:000.00–0.000:480.00–0.001:070.00–0.030:440.00–0.000:520.00–0.000:350.00–0.181:220.00–0.001:350.01–0.00
Heinen–Frederic–Poitras0:530.00–0.001:070.00–0.010:340.26–0.000:370.00–0.000:420.00–0.000:430.00–0.021:090.01–0.002:590.17–0.040:350.26–0.00
Steen–Boqvist–Lauko0:310.06–0.001:110.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:450.00–0.000:420.00–0.001:520.06–0.000:510.00–0.00
Heinen–Steen–Boqvist0:470.03–0.000:340.00–0.090:440.28–0.001:410.31–0.00
Heinen–Frederic–Boqvist0:400.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Steen–Lauko–Poitras0:420.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Shattenkirk–Wotherspoon2:290.00–0.021:440.26–0.011:170.00–0.031:250.00–0.001:320.00–0.052:140.23–0.001:370.00–0.041:520.26–0.001:470.00–0.040:450.00–0.00
Grzelcyk–McAvoy1:350.05–0.331:550.00–0.100:410.00–0.091:090.00–0.000:320.00–0.002:520.05–0.000:480.01–0.042:280.17–0.190:310.00–0.270:360.00–0.000:480.00–0.000:330.04–0.06
Lindholm–Carlo3:200.13–0.100:370.00–0.000:480.00–0.001:420.00–0.001:270.00–0.000:510.06–0.001:120.01–0.011:520.01–0.00
Lindholm–McAvoy2:550.00–0.050:340.00–0.000:430.28–0.000:390.00–0.301:260.28–0.000:300.00–0.110:340.00–0.001:120.00–0.310:460.00–0.040:560.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Grzelcyk–Carlo1:240.03–0.032:020.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:560.03–0.001:200.00–0.020:440.00–0.000:300.00–0.03
Shattenkirk–Grzelcyk0:550.00–0.07
Carlo–Wotherspoon
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndZacha FGeekie FPastrnak FFrederic FHeinen FPoitras FMarchand FCoyle FDeBrusk FBoqvist FSteen FLauko FCarlo DLindholm DShattenkirk DWotherspoon DMcAvoy DGrzelcyk DUllmark GPoint FHagel FKucherov FEyssimont FCirelli FSheary FPaul FStamkos FJeannot FGlendening FMotte FPerbix DHedman DRaddysh Dde Haan DThompson DLilleberg DMyers DVasilevskiy G
BOSTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2727:531:022:5386
Charlie McAvoyBOS2324:151:032:2343
Nikita KucherovTBL2323:011:002:2972
Brayden PointTBL2222:131:012:3363
Nick PaulTBL2021:501:062:1951
Hampus LindholmBOS2721:280:481:5526
David PastrnakBOS2019:561:002:3142
Brandon HagelTBL2619:480:462:1353
Steven StamkosTBL1919:131:012:2150
Brandon CarloBOS2719:090:431:3406
Anthony CirelliTBL2618:540:441:3325
Pavel ZachaBOS2318:390:491:5755
Matt GrzelcykBOS2418:100:451:2331
Nick PerbixTBL2418:090:451:2915
Darren RaddyshTBL2117:330:501:3122
Morgan GeekieBOS1916:590:541:5552
Parker WotherspoonBOS2016:560:512:2142
Brad MarchandBOS2016:540:511:2932
Trent FredericBOS2016:440:501:3222
Charlie CoyleBOS2316:410:441:2125
Calvin de HaanTBL2216:190:451:4012
Danton HeinenBOS1915:300:491:1910
Jake DeBruskBOS2215:120:411:1723
Kevin ShattenkirkBOS2014:520:451:3050
Tyler MotteTBL1712:520:451:1313
Luke GlendeningTBL1812:430:421:1315
Conor ShearyTBL1612:420:481:3101
Emil LillebergTBL1811:480:391:0812
Jack ThompsonTBL1411:390:501:2033
Jesper BoqvistBOS1511:220:451:2001
Matthew PoitrasBOS1611:010:411:1330
Michael EyssimontTBL1610:550:411:0702
Oskar SteenBOS1410:460:461:1501
Philippe MyersTBL1210:080:511:1330
Jakub LaukoBOS107:260:451:1311
Tanner JeannotTBL75:540:511:1501